San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers Free Pick 02/04/20

0

The Los Angeles Lakers (37-11) will be at home in the Staples Center when they take on the San Antonio Spurs (22-27). Los Angeles is a 12-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 229 points. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview

In the Spurs’ last matchup, they lost a tough one against the Los Angeles Clippers, 108-105, but did cover as 8.5-point underdogs. With 27 points on 9-for-17 shooting, LaMarcus Aldridge was the game’s leading scorer. Los Angeles did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (19-24; 79.2 percent). San Antonio, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 5.6 (better than their season average of 11.1). The two teams combined to score 213 points, which was just under the projected point total of 214.5.

The Lakers will look to keep it rolling after comfortably covering the 7-point spread against the Sacramento Kings in their last outing, 129-113. Los Angeles’ LeBron James played an enormous role in the victory, racking up 15 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds on his way to his 10th triple-double of the season. Los Angeles played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.622 (above their season average of 0.546) and a free throw rate of 0.256 (above their season average of 0.195). For those same stats, Sacramento put up marks of 0.505 and 0.231, respectively. The two squads combined to put up 242 points, which was well over the projected point total of 225.5.

The high-powered offense of Los Angeles (fifth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 111.2) will go head-to-head against the bottom-tier defense of San Antonio (21st in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 110.1). The Lakers figure to have the edge on that end of the court. Moreover, the Spurs rank third in turnover percentage (12.0 percent), while the Lakers rank fifth in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.5 percent).

Of San Antonio’s 48 games with betting action, 28 have finished over the projected point total, while 24 of Los Angeles’ 48 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Lakers have a sizable advantage. They are 37-11 SU and 25-22-1 ATS, while the Spurs are 22-27 SU and 20-26-2 ATS.

These two teams have met twice already this season, with the Lakers winning both. In the most recent game, James scored a game-high 33 points and the Lakers beat the Spurs 114-104, covering as 4.5-point favorites. He also put up 14 assists. The two teams combined to put up 218 points, which was just 4.5 points below the projected point total of 222.5 points. The Lakers played a nearly flawless game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 8.5 and a solid effective field goal percentage of 0.573. The Spurs put up marks of 12.1 and 0.523, respectively, for those same stats.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Lakers rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Spurs rank 25th (6.8).

Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while San Antonio ranks 16th (45.6).

Los Angeles ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while San Antonio ranks 25th (25.6).

Los Angeles ranks 23rd in three pointers attempted per game (30.9) while San Antonio ranks 28th (28.5).

San Antonio is 11-9-2 ATS on the road with 14 overs, 7 unders and 1 push.

Los Angeles is 11-10-1 ATS at home with 12 unders and 10 overs.

In games where they allow under 100 points, Los Angeles is 15-0 and San Antonio is 2-0.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Spurs are 22-22 and the Lakers are 33-10.

The Spurs rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Lakers rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.0).

Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.0) while San Antonio ranks 28th (43.5).

The Lakers rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.6) while the Spurs rank 29th (11.3).

The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Spurs rank eighth (5.7).

Los Angeles ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while San Antonio ranks 25th (15.1).

Bettings Trends:

Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 7.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.6 points per game (6.2 below their season average).

Leave a Reply