Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers Betting Pick 12/20/19


The Indiana Pacers (19-9) will be at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse when they take on the Sacramento Kings (12-15). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 20, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California.

Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers Odds Preview

The Kings lost to the Charlotte Hornets in their last matchup, 110-102, despite being 5.5-point favorites. Sacramento’s De’Aaron Fox had a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 19 points on 6-for-13 shooting. Charlotte had an offensive rebounding percentage of 41.0 (above their season average of 23.7). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (9.4 vs. 14.7). The two teams combined to put up 212 points, which came in over the O/U total of 208.

The last time the Pacers played, they narrowly defeated the Los Angeles Lakers, 105-102, as 2.5-point underdogs. With 26 points on 10-for-15 shooting, Domantas Sabonis was the top scorer from either team. Indiana played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.153 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.541 (above their season average of 0.523). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 0.088 and 0.516, respectively. Combined, the two teams scored 207 points, which finished just under the O/U total of 209.

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting two games last season. In the last matchup, the Pacers won 107-97. The Pacers dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.207 and an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 32.6. For those same stats, the Kings recorded marks of 0.133 and 24.5, respectively.

Games including these teams tend to finish under the projected point total. Sacramento games have gone under 63.0 percent of the time, while 60.7 percent of Indiana games have finished under. The Pacers hold the substantial advantage straight up (SU) (19-9 vs. 12-15), but the Kings have the superior against the spread (ATS) record (16-11 vs. 15-11-2).

Sacramento might struggle to put up points as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Indiana currently ranks fifth in defensive efficiency, while the Kings rank 22nd in offensive efficiency.

Sacramento Kings vs. Indiana Pacers Free Prediction

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Pacers rank 19th in rebounds per game (44.5) while the Kings rank last (41.3).

Sacramento leads the league with 10.0 fast break points allowed per game while Indiana is second with 11.2 fast break points allowed per game.

Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while Sacramento ranks 12th (23.7).

On the road, Sacramento is 11-5 ATS with 10 unders and 6 overs.

Indiana is 8-5-2 ATS at home with 9 unders and 6 overs.

When allowing under 100 points, Sacramento is 6-2 and Indiana is 5-1.

In games where they score more than 100 points, the Pacers are 19-5 and the Kings are 11-9.

The Pacers average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Kings rank 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).

Indiana ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (48.6) while Sacramento ranks 29th (41.6).

The Pacers rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Kings rank 20th (8.2).

Sacramento ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (34.7) while Indiana ranks 29th (26.8).

Bettings Trends:

Indiana is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Sacramento is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 4.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 103.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.6 points per game (6.4 below their season average).


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