Rutgers at Illinois College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

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Two schools that like to keep the ball on the ground, Coach Nunzio Campanile and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+21) are set to take on their conference rival Illinois Fighting Illini at Memorial Stadium. This daytime game will get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on BTN.

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Rutgers vs. Illinois Betting Odds 11/2/2019

Illinois is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 21 points to Rutgers. The over/under is set at 49 points. There should be multiple decent live betting scenarios in this game.

This game’s opening line was -20. The O/U has yet to move after being initially set at 49.

The Scarlet Knights are 2-6 straight up (SU), including 0-5 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Fighting Illini are 4-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play. The Scarlet Knights are 2-6 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.5 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-3-1.

The Fighting Illini have lost 1.1 units this season. The team is 5-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-5.

The Scarlet Knights are coming off a 44-34 victory over Liberty last week. The passing attack was on point as Johnny Langan completed 15 passes on 21 attempts for 192 yards and two touchdowns. Langan (118 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) also led the running attack and was complemented by Isaih Pacheco (107 yards on 19 carries, two TDs). Bo Melton (five receptions, 47 yards) and Isaiah Washington (four catches, 89 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

The Illinois Fighting Illini enter this one having just earned a lopsided 24-6 win over Purdue. The defense let the Boilermakers run for 135 yards on 44 rush attempts. Zander Horvath had a good showing in the loss, recording 54 rushing yards on nine attempts for Purdue. For Illinois, Brandon Peters completed three-of-six passes for 26 yards. Dre Brown (131 yards on 18 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Peters (17 yards on 12 carries, one TD) handled the running attack as Donny Navarro (one receptions, 17 yards) and Justice Williams (one catch, eight yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

When analyzing offensive play selection, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Rutgers has run the ball on 60.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Illinois has an overall rush percentage of 59.4. The Scarlet Knights have produced 130 rush yards/game (including 98 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Fighting Illini are totaling 158 rush yards per contest (152 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.

The Scarlet Knights have averaged 151 yards in the air overall (73 per game against conference opposition) and have five passing TDs so far. The Fighting Illini have recorded 168 pass yards per outing (125.4 in the Big 10) and have 13 total pass scores.

Defensively, Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 198 yards and pass for 247 yards per game. Illinois has been a bit better than that, giving up 187.8 rushing yards per game and 224.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Fighting Illini are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.74 to opponents, while the Scarlet Knights have allowed a 7.71 ANY/A.

Langan is up to 364 passing yards this year, and has connected on 34-of-60 attempts with two passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Langan has a 3.60 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.93 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Rutgers in this one. Isaih Pacheco, Johnny Langan and Isaiah Washington have collectively accounted for 403 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Brandon Peters has tallied 823 yards, 10 TDs and four INTs for Illinois. His ANY/A sits at 5.21 for the season and 6.00 over his last two games.

We’re thinking the Fighting Illini will dictate tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Donny Navarro (78 receiving yards this season) has stepped up lately, but Dre Brown (341 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Reggie Corbin (443 rush yards, four rush TDs) have been key factors in the Illinois offense.

These two teams faced off a year ago with the final result being a 38-17 victory for Illinois.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Pick

SU Winner – Illinois, ATS Winner – Rutgers, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The O/U for Rutgers’ last game was 44. The over cashed in the team’s 44-34 win over Liberty.

Rutgers has rushed for 3.8 yards per attempt over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.

Illinois has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.

The Illinois offense has lost six fumbles this season while Rutgers has lost four.

In its last three matches, Rutgers is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Illinois’ previous game was set at 54.5. The under cashed in that 24-6 victory over Purdue.

In its last three contests, Illinois is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Scarlet Knights offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Fighting Illini have put up two such plays.

The Rutgers defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Illinois has given up five such plays.

The Rutgers offense has created eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Illinois has created 15 such runs.

The Scarlet Knights defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Fighting Illini have given up 15 such runs.

The Illinois defense has tallied more than twice as many sacks as Rutgers this year (19 versus nine).

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