Rice at UTSA College Football Betting Pick 10/19/19


The Rice Owls (-3.5) aren’t traveling far to take on the UTSA Roadrunners at the Alamodome. This conference game starts at 6:00 p.m. ET and ESPN 3 is in line to televise the action. When the two teams faced one another a year ago, UTSA emerged victorious by a score of 20-3.

Rice vs. UTSA Betting Predictions 10/19/2019

In this Saturday Conference USA matchup, Rice is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 3.5 points. The Owls are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Roadrunners are +155. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points. If the underdog strikes early, it’ll probably create a reasonable live betting opportunity.

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Odds have shifted slightly from when they were initially set. The opening line was 3 and the game’s O/U was originally set at 45.

The Owls are 3-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.0 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 3-3.

The Roadrunners have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-3-1.

The Owls have gone 0-6 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against CUSA opponents. The Roadrunners are 2-4 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.

The Owls lost to UAB 35-20 in a contest where their defense allowed the Blazers to run for 127 yards on 37 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Kendall Parham had a productive day for the Blazers in that one with 109 yards and two touchdowns on three catches. On the offense, Wiley Green completed just 15-of-34 passes for 161 yards and two touchdowns. Aston Walter (102 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Austin Trammell (five receptions, 113 yards) and Walter (four catches, 14 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

UTSA just fell 33-14 to UAB. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Blazers to rush for 198 yards on 41 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Austin Watkins shredded the defense, putting up 167 yards on six catches for UAB. For UTSA, Lowell Narcisse completed eight-of-19 passes for 94 yards. Narcisse (89 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and Sincere McCormick (34 yards on 16 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Carlos Strickland II (two receptions, 41 yards) and Kirk Johnson Jr. (two catches, 19 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Each of these squads has a similar (57-43) run-pass ratio on the season. The Owls have run for 121 yards/game (including 162 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Roadrunners are averaging 185 rushing yards per game (204 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.

The Owls offense has logged 165 yards per game in the air overall (160 per game versus conference opposition) and has five passing TDs so far. The Roadrunners have recorded 131 pass yards per game (89.3 against CUSA competition) and have four total pass scores.

Defensively, Rice has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156 yards and pass for 250 yards per game. The UTSA D has allowed 177.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 220.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Roadrunners are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.38 to opposing QBs, while the Owls have allowed a whopping 9.46 ANY/A.

Green has amassed 420 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 38-of-76 attempts with two passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Green’s got a 5.15 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.92 over the last two games.

As a group, Aston Walter, Austin Trammell and Brad Rozner have combined for 487 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

For the home team, Lowell Narcisse has completed 26-of-62 passes for 227 yards, zero TDs and two INTs. Narcisse’s ANY/A stands at a horrendous 1.95 for the season and 4.20 over his past two outings.

Similar to the Owls, expect a balanced approach offensively from UTSA this Saturday. As a trio, Sincere McCormick, Lowell Narcisse and Carlos Strickland II have collectively accounted for 493 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two games.

Rice Owls at UTSA Roadrunners Free Pick

SU Winner – Rice, ATS Winner – Rice, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

UTSA has lost seven fumbles this season while Rice has lost six.

The UTSA defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 10 times this year. Rice has registered seven sacks.

Rice has produced 3.2 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.

UTSA has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.3 over its last two.

Over its last three matches, UTSA is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Rice’s last game was set at 43. The over cashed in the team’s 35-20 defeat to UAB.

In its last three matches, Rice is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for UTSA’s previous match was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the 33-14 loss to UAB.


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