Red Bull Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich – Match of the Day (Round 27)


Bayern can relax and enjoy this match which is not the case with Leipzig who mustn’t lose if they want to keep their Champions League dreams alive. The Bavarians are considered as favorites on this one, of course, and they have been phenomenal recently, so the hosts will have a mountain to climb in order to get at least a point. The game will take place at Red Bull Arena on Sunday, March 18th.

Red Bull Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich

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Three-Way: 1: Leipzig +400; X: +333 Draw; 2: Bayern -167 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +1: Leipzig -112; Bayern +104

Total 3 goals: Over -103; Under -114


The Red Bulls are not playing particularly well in Bundesliga at the moment as they are without a win in the last four matches, but they qualified for the ¼ finals of the Europa League after eliminating Zenit Petersburg, 3-2 on aggregate. Leipzig got to an early lead through Jean-Kevin Augustin and the next round was near, but Sebastian Driussi equalizer in the dying moments of the first half restored Zenit’s hope. Timo Werner missed a penalty in the 82nd minute, but luckily for the Germans, the hosts failed to score a winner, so Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side deservedly progressed to the quarter-finals when they’ll meet Marseille. Leipzig is currently in the 6th position in Bundesliga with 40 points, four behind Leverkusen who is sitting in the 4th spot that leads to the UCL, so they cannot afford to lose this one.

Red Bull Leipzig played 38 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 16 victories, nine draws, and 13 losses, with a goal difference of 59:52, which is 2.92 goals per contest on average. The Red Bulls won two out of the previous five matches at home, scoring six goals in the process and allowing six in return. However, Leipzig failed to win in the last two home games in Bundesliga as they suffered a disappointing defeat to Koln along with a draw with Dortmund.

Timo Werner is the team’s top scorer with 17 goals in 36 appearances; Jean-Kevin Augustin has eight goals, while Naby Keita added seven to his name. Marcel Sabitzer is the most creative individual at Red Bull Arena with nine assists; Yussuf Poulsen contributed with eight dishes, while Werner has six assists at the moment. Ralph Hasenhüttl cannot count on Marcel Halstenberg (cruciate ligament rupture) and Marcel Sabitzer (back).


The Bavarians have been sensational in 2018 as they recorded 12 wins in 13 matches, and only Hertha Berlin managed to stay unbeaten with a 0-0 draw at Allianz Arena. Bayern is in a fine run of three consecutive victories, including the latest one over Besiktas in the second leg of the Champions League 1/8 finals. Jupp Heynckes’ side got to the comfortable 3-1 win in Turkey thanks to Thiago Alcantara, Gokhan Gonul’s own goal, and Sandro Wagner, while the hosts scored through Vagner Love. Bayern is at the top of Bundesliga with 66 points, even 20 ahead of Schalke, and they will undoubtedly be crowned as the new/old champions of Germany.

Bayern Munich played 39 games in this campaign, recording 33 victories, three draws, and three losses, with a goal difference of 104:29, which is 3.41 goals per contest on average. The Bavarians won all six road matches in 2018, scoring 20 goals in the process and allowing just three goals in return.

Robert Lewandowski is the team’s leading scorer with 32 goals in 36 appearances; Thomas Muller has ten goals, while Corentin Tolisso and Kingsley Coman added seven goals apiece. Joshua Kimmich is the best assist-maker with 15 dishes to his name; Muller contributed with ten assists, while Arjen Robben currently has ten passes that directly led to goals. Jupp Heynckes will be without Coman (ankle), Manuel Neuer (metatarsal fracture), and Tolisso (shin), while Alcantara (foot) and Robben (muscle) are listed as doubtful.

Red Bull Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Leipzig scored in each of the previous three games at home
  • Leipzig conceded at least a goal in the last three matches at Red Bull Arena
  • Bayern scored 11 goals in the last four away matches in Bundesliga
  • Bayern allowed just two goals in the previous four road games in the league

Bayern won all four H2H duels they played since Leipzig joined Bundesliga in 2016, including both tilts this season; 2-1 after penalties in the DFB Pokal, and 2-0 at Allianz Arena in the league. The last year’s clash at Red Bull Arena finished 5-4 for the Bavarians, and although I don’t expect to see nine goals here, goals on both sides are looking more probable.

MY PICK: Both teams to score YES and Over 2.5 goals (-105)

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