Real Betis vs. Sevilla – Match of the Day (Round 37)

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Betis needs just one point in the following two rounds to secure the Europa League spot, but they will be more than happy to defeat the city rival and minimize their chances to reach the UEL next season. On the other hand, Sevilla responded excellently to the appointment of the new head coach Joaquin Caparros with a pair of victories, and are highly motivated to get a revenge for the heavy loss in the first part of the campaign. The game will take place at Benito Villamarín on Saturday, May 12th.

Real Betis vs. Sevilla

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Three-Way: 1 Betis +162; X: +239 Draw; 2: Sevilla +170 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Spread 0: Betis -104; Sevilla -103

Total 3.5 goals: Over +135; Under -182

REAL BETIS

The Green-and-Whites have been fantastic in the second part of the campaign and were in a great form of eight games without a defeat, conceding just two goals in the process, and although they lost the latest game to Bilbao on the road, Betis fully deserved to find themselves this high in the standings. Betis held Bilbao to 0-0 until the final 15 minutes of the tilt when Iker Muniain and Aritz Aduriz scored to give Athletic a win, but this loss didn’t hurt Betis much as Villarreal also suffered a defeat at Barcelona. Quique Setién’s side is currently in the 5th place with 59 points, two more than the Yellow Submarine and five more than Sevilla, and they need just a point here to qualify for the UEL group phase.

Real Betis played 38 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 19 victories, five draws, and 14 losses, with a goal difference of 61:62, which is 3.23 goals per contest on average. The Green-and-Whites are playing exceptionally well at home recently as they didn’t lose in the previous five matches at the Benito Villamarín, winning four in a row and scoring eight goals in the process, conceding only one in return.

Sergio Leon is the team’s top scorer with 13 goals in 32 appearances; Antonio Sanabria added seven goals to his name, while Loren Moron and Cristian Tello chipped in with six goals apiece. Andres Guardado is the best assist-maker with eight dishes; the veteran Joaquin is right behind him with seven, while Antonio Barragan and Fabian Ruiz have six assists each. Quique Setién cannot count on Antonio Adan (osteitis pubis0), Junior Firpo (knee), Dani Gimenez (hamstring), Francis Guerrero (hamstring), Zouhair Feddal (Achilles tendon rupture), and Guardado (muscle).

SEVILLA

The White and Reds came out from the poor form after sacking of Vincenzo Montella and appointing Joaquin Caparros, which proved to be an excellent move from Sevilla’s hierarchy. Sevilla won two in a row including the latest game over Real Madrid, but they still have a lot to do before securing the Europe League. Sevilla got to a 2-0 first-half lead thanks to goals from Wissam Ben Yedder and Miguel Layun, while Sergio Ramos missed an opportunity to cut the lead from the penalty spot, hitting the crossbar, and his horror game became even worse when he scored an own goal in the 84th minute. Although Real Madrid scored two in the space of eight minutes, it was a bit too late for the visitors, and Sevilla got to a deserved 3-2 win. Joaquin Caparros’s side is in the 7th position with 54 points, three behind Villarreal and two more than Getafe, and they are hoping to get a positive result here, but also are rooting for Atletico Madrid to beat Getafe.

Sevilla played 57 games in this campaign, recording 27 victories, 13 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal difference of 85:83, which is 2.94 goals per contest on average. The White and Reds are in a bad form on the road lately as they didn’t record a win in the last five away matches, losing three of them and scoring just two goals in the process, allowing eight in return.

Wissam Ben Yedder is the team’s leading scorer with 20 goals in 40 appearances; Luis Muriel and Pablo Sarabia added nine goals apiece, while Joaquin Correa chipped in with seven goals so far. Sarabia is the most creative individual at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán with ten assists, while Correa, Nolito, and Franco Vasquez contributed with seven dishes each. Joaquin Caparros will be without suspended Sarabia, Sebastien Corchia (groin), Jesus Navas (muscle), and Simon Kjaer (knee).

Real Betis vs. Sevilla – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Betis kept the net intact in four out of the previous five home games
  • Betis scored eight goals in the last four matches at home
  • Sevilla scored just one goal in the last four games on the road
  • Sevilla kept the clean sheet in two out of the previous three road matches

Sevilla won seven out of the previous nine H2H encounters and was in a five-game winning streak before Betis surprised them with a huge 5-3 win at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán earlier in this campaign, which was Betis’ first victory over the arch-rivals since March 2014. The Green-and-Whites didn’t beat Sevilla at home since 2006 and are desperate to end that negative run, but Sevilla needs points here and it won’t be easy. I expect to see attacking football on both ends and therefore, a bunch of goals on each side as the last two meetings produced 11 goals in total.

MY PICK: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals (-125)