Portland Trail Blazers at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds Pick 01/09/20


Northwest Division foes will collide when the Minnesota Timberwolves (14-22) take on the Portland Trail Blazers (16-22) at the Target Center. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 9, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The last time the Trail Blazers played, they edged the Toronto Raptors, 101-99, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. With 14 points, 16 rebounds and seven blocks, Hassan Whiteside had a good performance for Portland. The Trail Blazers had a turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 11.4) and held the Raptors to an effective field goal percentage of 0.443 (below their season average of 0.523). The two teams combined to put up 200 points, which was well under the projected point total of 221.

The Timberwolves are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 4.5-point underdogs in their 119-112 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last contest. Jarrett Culver was Minnesota’s high scorer with 24 points on 8-for-11 shooting. One of Memphis’ biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 19-21 (90.5 percent), while the Timberwolves were 17-21 (81.0 percent). Combined, the two squads scored 231 points, which was just over the projected point total of 228.

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 219 points, which was under the projected point total of 228. The Trail Blazers won 113-106, covering as 7-point favorites. The Trail Blazers dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 and a turnover percentage of 11.8. The Timberwolves were 17.5 and 14.5, respectively, for those same stats. Whiteside recorded a double-double with 16 points and 22 rebounds.

Of Portland’s 38 games, 19 have finished under the O/U total, while 19 of Minnesota’s 36 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have middling straight up (SU) records (16-22 for Portland; 14-22 for Minnesota), but the Timberwolves hold a slight advantage against the spread (ATS). Minnesota is 15-19-2 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 15-21-2.

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Trail Blazers, it’s been Whiteside, who has averaged 19 points,17.8 rebounds,3.4 blocks, while the Timberwolves have gotten great contributions from Robert Covington (14 points,7.8 rebounds,2.8 steals,1.2 blocks).

It will be a showdown of opposite tempos as the up-and-down Timberwolves will look to push the more half-court-oriented Trail Blazers. The Timberwolves currently rank first in possessions per game while the Trail Blazers are 12th.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Timberwolves average 46.5 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).

Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.4) while Portland ranks 19th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).

Portland ranks second in blocked shots (6.6 per game) while Minnesota ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.5).

Minnesota ranks 23rd in assists per game (22.3) while Portland ranks 29th (19.7).

Minnesota is 4-11-1 ATS at home, while Portland is 9-11-1 ATS on the road.

Of the Trail Blazers’ 21 road games, they have 12 unders, 8 overs and 1 push.

Of the Timberwolves’ 16 home games, they have 8 overs and 8 unders.

Minnesota is 2-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.

The Trail Blazers are 16-16 when they reach 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 13-16.

The Trail Blazers rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while the Timberwolves rank 21st (17.6).

Minnesota ranks fourth in steals per game (8.7) while Portland ranks 28th (5.9).

The Timberwolves rank fifth in second chance points per game (14.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (15.7).

The Trail Blazers rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.8) while the Timberwolves rank 28th (10.4).

Minnesota ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (48.9) while Portland ranks 28th (43.3).

Bettings Trends:

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Portland is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Timberwolves have outscored opponents by an average of 5.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Minnesota has lost by an average of 2.6 points.

During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (1.0 below their season average).


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