Home NBA Free NBA Picks Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers Betting Pick 02/27/20

Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers Betting Pick 02/27/20

The Indiana Pacers (34-24) will be at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse when they take on the Portland Trail Blazers (26-33). Indiana is a 10-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 27, 2020, and it can be seen on TNT.

Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers Free Preview

In the Trail Blazers’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Boston Celtics, 118-106. They were unable to cover as 7-point underdogs. With 28 points on 10-for-24 shooting, CJ McCollum was Portland’s high scorer. Boston forced the Trail Blazers into a turnover percentage of 15.2 (above their season average of 11.0). Portland, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (17-23; 73.9 percent). The two teams combined to score 224 points, which came in just over the projected point total of 222.5.

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The Pacers come in on a high note after comfortably covering the 11.5-point spread against the Charlotte Hornets in their last contest, 119-80. Indiana rallied around Domantas Sabonis, who was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 8-for-10 shooting. Indiana played a nearly flawless game. They had an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.628 (above their season average of 0.531) and a free throw rate of 0.128 (below their season average of 0.170). For those same stats, Charlotte was 0.383 and 0.085, respectively. The two teams collectively scored 199 points, which finished under the O/U total of 209.

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 268 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 220. The Trail Blazers won 139-129, covering as 2-point favorites. The Trail Blazers played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 32.4 and an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.656. For those same stats, the Pacers recorded marks of 16.2 and 0.586, respectively. Damian Lillard recorded a double-double with 50 points and 13 assists.

Of Portland’s 59 games, 32 have finished over the O/U total, while 30 of Indiana’s 58 games have finished over the projected point total. The Pacers hold a clear advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 34-24 SU and 30-26-2 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 26-33 SU and 23-34-2 ATS.

Indiana should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Indiana ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while Portland forces the second-fewest turnovers (11.8 percent).

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Indiana Pacers Odds Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Trail Blazers rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (33.9) while the Pacers rank last (27.8).

Indiana ranks 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4) while Portland ranks last (15.7).

Indiana ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (12.9) while Portland ranks 26th (15.1).

Indiana ranks 21st in steals per game (7.1) while Portland ranks 27th (5.9).

On the road, Portland is 12-17-1 ATS with 15 unders, 14 overs and 1 push.

At home, Indiana is 14-14-2 ATS with 16 overs and 14 unders.

Portland is 4-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Indiana is 11-2.

The Pacers are 34-15 when they reach the century mark, while the Trail Blazers are 26-26.

The Pacers rank 16th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (13.9).

Indiana ranks fifth in assists per game (26.2) while Portland ranks last (20.1).

The Pacers rank eighth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (43.9).

The Trail Blazers rank third in blocks per game (6.3) while the Pacers rank 12th (5.1).

Indiana ranks 12th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while Portland ranks last (47.9).

Bettings Trends:

Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Portland is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 2.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.8 points per game (4.5 above their season average).

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