The Houston Rockets (26-13) will try to lengthen a five-game home winning streak when they take on the Portland Trail Blazers (17-24) at Toyota Center. Houston opened as an 8.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 236 points. Action gets underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 15, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN.
Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets ATS Preview
The Trail Blazers edged the Charlotte Hornets in their last matchup, 115-112, but were unable to cover as 9-point favorites. Damian Lillard was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 10-for-16 shooting. Portland dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.181 (below their season average of 0.193) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.602 (above their season average of 0.514). Charlotte was 0.156 and 0.544, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 227 points, which finished over the O/U total of 215.5.
In the Rockets’ previous matchup, they were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 121-110. James Harden was the top scorer from either team with 41 points on 13-for-37 shooting. Memphis had a turnover percentage of 6.6 (better than their season average of 13.0). Houston, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (22-24; 91.7 percent). Combined, the two squads scored 231 points, which finished just under the projected point total of 232.
Houston could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their productive offense goes up against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Rockets currently rank third in offensive efficiency, while Portland ranks 21st in defensive efficiency.
Of Portland’s 41 games, 21 have finished under the O/U total, while 21 of Houston’s 38 games have finished under the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Rockets have a significant advantage. They are 26-13 SU and 20-18 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 17-24 SU and 15-24-2 ATS.
These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 240 points in that game, which was over the projected point total of 231.5. The Rockets won 132-108, covering as 8-point favorites. The Rockets played a perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 34.7 and a free throw rate of 0.210. For those same stats, the Trail Blazers had marks of 22.6 and 0.177, respectively. Russell Westbrook played a huge role in the victory, recording a triple-double with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Houston Rockets Betting Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
The Rockets rank first in three pointers attempted per game (44.2) while the Trail Blazers rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.5).
Portland ranks second in blocks per game (6.4) while Houston ranks 17th (4.8).
Houston ranks 10th in second chance points per game (13.5) while Portland ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.7).
Houston ranks 19th in points in the paint per game (47.1) while Portland ranks 29th (42.9).
Portland is 9-12-1 ATS on the road, while Houston is 10-8 ATS at home.
The Trail Blazers have 13 unders, 8 overs and 1 push in 22 road games.
The Rockets have 10 overs and 8 unders in 18 home games.
When allowing under 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and Houston is 3-0.
The Rockets are 26-11 when they score above 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 17-18.
The Trail Blazers rank 12th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while the Rockets rank 28th (26.0).
Houston ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.3) while Portland ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (48.3).
The Rockets rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (14.0).
The Trail Blazers average 13.0 fast break points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Rockets rank 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.2).
Houston ranks 10th in steals per game (7.9) while Portland ranks last (5.9).
Houston is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Portland is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.0, down from 5.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.2 points per game (0.4 above their season average).