Portland State Vikings at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos ATS Odds Pick 11/27/19


The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (2-3) will be at home in the Thunderdome when they challenge the Portland State Vikings (3-3). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 152 points with UC Santa Barbara set as an 8-point favorite. Action gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.

Portland State Vikings at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Free Preview

The Vikings were victorious over the Grambling State Tigers in their last contest, 84-74, despite being 3-point underdogs. With 15 points and 10 rebounds, Alonzo Walker had a good game for Portland State. Portland State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.269 (above their season average of 0.267) and a turnover percentage of 12.7 (better than their season average of 13.8). For those same stats, Grambling State recorded marks of 0.117 and 22.9, respectively. The two teams combined to score 158 points, which finished over the projected point total of 150.5.

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In the Gauchos’ previous outing, they blew out the Menlo Oaks, 88-69. With 25 points on 8-for-13 shooting, Amadou Sow was the top scorer from either team. UC Santa Barbara dominated nearly every stat category in the contest. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 57.7 (above their season average of 30.1) and a free throw rate of 0.357 (above their season average of 0.211). For those same stats, Menlo was 14.3 and 0.111, respectively.

The Gauchos won the sole contest against the Vikings last season, 76-69. The Gauchos dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.500 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.481. For those same stats, the Vikings were 0.355 and 0.379, respectively.

Games including these teams have typically finished over the projected point total. Portland State games have gone over 100.0 percent of the time, while 100.0 percent of UC Santa Barbara games have gone over. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Vikings have a sizable advantage. They are 3-3 SU and 2-2 ATS, while the Gauchos are 2-3 SU and 1-3 ATS.

The aggressive UC Santa Barbara offense might be getting to the foul line a lot in this matchup. Since the 2018-19 season, the Gauchos rank 46th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.268, while Portland State ranks 343rd in FTA rate allowed (0.297). It will also be a tale of two tempos as the fast-paced Vikings rank 44th in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Gauchos rank 332nd.

Portland State vs. UC Santa Barbara Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Portland State, ATS Winner – Portland State, O/U – Under


Betting Notes (2018-Present):

The Gauchos rank 10th in rebounds allowed per game (30.8) while the Vikings rank 96th (33.7).

Portland State ranks 80th in blocked shots (4.0 per game) while UC Santa Barbara ranks 83rd in blocks allowed per game (2.9).

Portland State ranks 16th in steals per game (8.8) while UC Santa Barbara ranks 285th (4.8).

The Gauchos rank 47th in assists allowed per game (11.3) while the Vikings rank 258th (14.6).

Portland State ranks 135th in three pointers attempted per game (23.0) while UC Santa Barbara ranks 295th (18.8).

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