2020 PLAYERS Championship Betting Odds & Free Picks

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Often referred to as the fifth major, The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is a signature event of the PGA Tour season. This year’s event has a $15 million purse with $2.7 million going to the winner. The Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass has held this event every year dating back to 1982.

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Some people are saying that this will actually be the easiest course of the Florida swing, which has already featured some really good golf and some final-round drama. Next week’s Valspar Championship at Innisbrook often has a winning score in the single digits. Scoring can be done on the TPC Sawgrass course for this flagship event.

We’ll survey the course, the field, and look for some players to back in this huge event worth 80 Official World Golf Ranking points.

TPC Sawgrass

The Tournament Players Club at Sawgrass Stadium Course is a Pete Dye design. This course doesn’t necessarily reward distance. It rewards accuracy. This is a par 72 coming in just under 7,200 yards this time around, but when we think of TPC Sawgrass, we think of the iconic Island Green on 17. We think of narrow landing spots and the importance of strokes gained on approach.

There are a lot of technical elements to the Stadium Course. Approach shots to tucked-away greens and long second shots full of risk and reward. Also, the wind. It is Florida after all, so we know that the wind can kick up in Ponte Vedra Beach.

It is important to understand the course as well as you can so that you can pick the players with the best skill sets.

The Odds

The Players Championship features 144 players, so this is a bigger field than what we had last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. It is still a very strong field based on the criteria. We are missing Tiger Woods again this week with back issues.

Here are the odds from 5Dimes Sportsbook for The 2020 Players Championship as of 10 a.m. on March 10, 2020:

Rory McIlroy +710
Jon Rahm +1160
Justin Thomas +1410
Bryson DeChambeau +1600
Dustin Johnson +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Sungjae Im +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Webb Simpson +2800
Xander Schauffele +2800
Adam Scott +2800
Patrick Reed +3300
Rickie Fowler +3300
Brooks Koepka +3300
Collin Morikawa +3500
Gary Woodland +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Tyrrell Hatton +4500
Paul Casey +4500
Marc Leishman +4500
Justin Rose +5000
Matt Kuchar +5500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +6000
Jordan Spieth +6000
Jason Day +6600
Billy Horschel +6600
Sergio Garcia +6600
Daniel Berger +7000
Byeong Hun An +7500
Henrik Stenson +8000
Joel Dahmen +8000
Louis Oosthuizen +8000
Shane Lowry +8000
Scottie Scheffler +8000
Viktor Hovland +8000
Abraham Ancer +8500
Ian Poulter +9000
Bubba Watson +10000
Brandt Snedeker +10000
Max Homa +10000
Matt Wallace +11000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +11000
Kevin Kisner +11500
Phil Mickelson +11500
Kevin Na +12500
Harris English +13500
Jason Kokrak +15000
Erik Van Rooyen +15000
Bernd Wiesberger +15000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +15000
Ryan Moore +15000
Ryan Palmer +15000
Victor Perez +15000
Russell Henley +15000
Sung Kang +15000
Chez Reavie +16000
Francesco Molinari +16500
Cameron Smith +16500
Jhonattan Vegas +16500
Graeme McDowell +16500
Joaquin Niemann +16500
Keegan Bradley +16500
Adam Hadwin +16500
Harold Varner III +17500
J.T. Poston +17500
Danny Lee +17500
Patrick Rodgers +17500
Tom Hoge +17500
Keith Mitchell +18500
Jim Furyk +20000
J.B. Holmes +20000
Danny Willett +20000
Charles Howell III +20000
Emiliano Grillo +20000
Bud Cauley +20000
Branden Grace +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
Talor Gooch +22500
Scott Piercy +22500
Sebastian Munoz +22500
Brendon Todd +22500
Brian Harman +22500
Lucas Glover +22500
Sam Burns +22500
Rory Sabbatini +22500
Nick Taylor +22500
Lanto Griffin +22500
Martin Laird +25000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +25000
Nick Watney +25000
Matthew Wolff +25000
Jimmy Walker +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Corey Conners +25000
Charley Hoffman +25000
Russell Knox +25000
Luke List +26500
Kevin Streelman +27500
Dylan Frittelli +27500
Cameron Champ +27500
Zach Johnson +27500
Aaron Wise +27500
Adam Long +30000
Kyle Stanley +30000
Matt Jones +30000
Cameron Tringale +30000
Mackenzie Hughes +30000
Jason Dufner +30000
Si Woo Kim +30000
Vaughn Taylor +30000
Denny McCarthy +31500
Jazz Janewattananond +32500
Andrew Landry +32500
Andrew Putnam +32500
Adam Schenk +35000
Mark Hubbard +35000
Pat Perez +35000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +40000
Sepp Straka +40000
Scott Stallings +40000
Troy Merritt +40000
C.T. Pan +45000
Brice Garnett +45000
Aaron Baddeley +45000
Patton Kizzire +48500
Sam Ryder +50000
Scott Brown +50000
Chesson Hadley +50000
Nate Lashley +50000
Michael Thompson +52500
Roger Sloan +55000
Kevin Tway +55000
J.J. Spaun +60000
Chris Stroud +60000
Brian Stuard +60000
Brian Gay +60000
Ryan Armour +60000
Tyler Duncan +65000
Peter Malnati +65000
Matt Every +65000
Retief Goosen +75000
Bronson Burgoon +75000
Jim Herman +75000

As you can see, Rory is the favorite at about 7/1. Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas are just ahead of Bryson DeChambeau, but Bryson has four top-10 finishes in his last five and he’s going to get one of these tournament titles sometime soon.

We have had a wide variety of players that have won here. Big hitters like Rory, Rickie, and Tiger have won, but so have more technical guys like Webb Simpson, Matt Kuchar, KJ Choi, Tim Clark, and Si-Woo Kim.

You notice that there are some players that were in the 100 or 125/1 range last week that are pumped up into the 200s like Wyndham Clark, Denny McCarthy, and Carlos Ortiz. Some of that has to do with a stronger field. Some of that has to do with last week’s results. Some of that has to do with what plays well at this course.

A lot of guys really struggled last week with Bay Hill, as the winds were moving and Saturday wound up being extremely tough. Amazingly, this course is a little more forgiving, though we certainly wouldn’t think that with the fanfare of this tournament.

Fore!

Here are four guys I like this week for a variety of reasons:

Patrick Cantlay (+2500) – We haven’t seen Patrick Cantlay in a little while and he didn’t play well here last year, but he fits the right type of skill set to have success at TPC Sawgrass. Cantlay fell from second to sixth in SG: Approach because he didn’t play last week. Over his 20 rounds, he ranks sixth, but would be higher up if he had played more tournaments. Cantlay is also sixth in SG: Tee-to-Green, due in large part to his approach game. He is tied for second in GIR%. Cantlay had two top-25 finishes before missing the cut last season in this event, but he’s got great stats over his measured rounds and hasn’t been playing week in and week out on tough courses like some of these guys. Presidents Cup players are rattling off wins like crazy. Cantlay doesn’t have one yet.

Gary Woodland (+4000) – It seems like Gary Woodland has found his game again. Woodland did not play last week at the Arnold Palmer, but he was eighth two weeks ago at the Honda Classic and 12th three weeks ago at the WGC-Mexico Championship. Woodland, another Presidents Cup player, won last year’s US Open in emotional fashion, but hasn’t grabbed a title since. So far during the 2019-20 season, Woodland ranks 16th in SG: Approach and 21st in SG: Tee-to-Green. He is sixth in GIR%. Like so many others, the putter has come and gone, but 81st in SG: Putting is respectable enough and the other parts of his game should have him in contention going into Sunday.

Harris English (+13500) – I’ve got two bombs left for you here. How about Harris English at 150/1? English has played a lot of golf this year already and ranks 41st in SG: Approach. He is a solid 18th overall in SG: Tee-to-Green. His claim to fame is hitting GIRs, as he ranks fifth in GIR% with the most rounds of anybody in the top 14. He is also sixth in GIR% from 150-175 yards, which is where he is going to be with some regularity this week. His putting ranks in the top 40 in strokes gained as well. He’s running on a streak of three straight top-20 finishes, but he has missed five straight cuts here. Hopefully his recent form overcomes his course form.

Nick Watney (+25000) – Nick Watney is a long price worthy of some consideration. He’s 250/1 for a reason, but Watney ranks 29th in SG: Approach. His SG: Tee-to-Green profile is poor because he has struggled off of the tee, but he’s been pretty good on his way to the green and around the green as well. Admittedly, Watney has not putted well, but if you can find a top 20 or top 10 prop to pair with this long shot future, Watney is a guy that I do expect to play well this week. He’s 14th in GIR% and 16th in GIR% from 150-175 yards out. He’s played well here in the past and played well two weeks ago at the Honda Classic. As a real long shot, he’s worth a couple of bucks.

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