Home NFL Free NFL Picks Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Week 17 Betting Pick

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Week 17 Betting Pick

To conclude the 2019 regular season, the Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) are taking on their AFC North counterpart Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. CBS is scheduled to broadcast the action and this pivotal late afternoon matchup gets underway at 4:25 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Betting Odds 12/29/2019

The spread for this AFC matchup is placed at 1 point in favor of Baltimore. The Steelers are currently getting -105 moneyline odds while the Ravens are -115. This AFC tilt could offer several in-game betting scenarios. The over/under is set at 39.5 points.

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With the game’s total initially placed at 41, Sharp bettors are siding with the under.

The Steelers are 8-7 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against AFC North opponents. The Ravens are 13-2 SU overall and 4-1 SU against divisional foes. Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this year as the Steelers have gained 1.1 units and the Ravens are up 8.8 units.

Pittsburgh comes into this one on an 11-game winning streak while Baltimore has dropped each of its last two. The Steelers fell to the Jets 16-10 in a Week 16 contest where the passing attack was sharp, as the Steelers completed 25-of-37 passes for 213 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Mason Rudolph went 14-for-20 for 129 yards and one touchdown while Devlin Hodges completed 11-of-17 for 84 yards and two interceptions. Benny Snell Jr. (just 14 yards on seven rushes) led the ground attack while Diontae Johnson (eight receptions, 81 yards, one TD) and James Washington (five catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Baltimore enters this one after just getting a 31-15 win over Cleveland in Week 16. The team’s defense did its part in the victory, limiting the Browns to just 192 passing yards and 49 yards on the ground. Jarvis Landry had a good showing in the loss for Cleveland, recording 74 yards on seven catches. For Baltimore, Lamar Jackson completed 20-of-31 passes for 238 yards and three touchdowns. Jackson (103 rushing yards on 17 attempts) and Gus Edwards (66 yards on 12 carries) spearheaded the running game while Mark Andrews (six receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) and Justice Hill (three catches, 32 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Pittsburgh has run the ball on 43.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 56.8 percent. The Steelers have run for 90 yards per game (including 97 per game against North opponents) and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Ravens are totaling 205 rushing yards per contest (192 in conference) and have 20 total rush TDs.

The Steelers have averaged 208 yards in the air overall (220 per game versus conference opposition) and have 18 passing TDs so far. The Ravens have recorded 217 pass yards per outing (225.0 against AFC competition) and have 37 total pass scores.

Defensively, Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 102 yards and pass for 224 yards per game. Baltimore has allowed 93.0 yards per game on the ground and 232.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Steelers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.85 to opponents, while the Ravens have allowed a 5.35 ANY/A.

Devlin Hodges is up to 766 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 68-of-97 attempts with four passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Hodges has a 5.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is -0.11 over the past two outings.

In the host locker room, Lamar Jackson has recorded 2,915 yards, 31 TDs and six INTs. Jackson’s ANY/A stands at 7.90 for the season and 11.09 over his last two outings.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Free NFL Tip

SU Winner – Ravens, ATS Winner – Ravens, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

When it comes to explosive plays, each team has produced eight pass plays of 40+ yards. The Steelers have have made 17 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Ravens have created 19 such plays.

The Pittsburgh defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Baltimore has given up nine such plays.

The Pittsburgh offense has created eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Baltimore has created 21 such runs.

The Steelers defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ravens have given up seven such runs.

The Pittsburgh defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 51 times this season. Baltimore has registered just 34 sacks.

As a team, Pittsburgh has produced 3.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.2 over its last two.

Baltimore has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.2 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Baltimore is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Pittsburgh’s previous game was 36.5. The under cashed in the team’s 16-10 loss to the Jets.

Over its last three games, Pittsburgh is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Baltimore’s previous match was 47.5. The under cashed in that 31-15 victory over Cleveland.

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