Home NHL Free NHL Picks Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick 2/6/20

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick 2/6/20

Amalie Arena will be hosting an enticing tilt as the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the visiting Pittsburgh Penguins. The match gets started at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 6, and fans at home can catch this Eastern Conference matchup live on AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

Pittsburgh (+145) is playing the role of underdog to Tampa Bay (-165) and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 7 goals (-135 for the over, +115 for the under).

The Lightning are 33-20 straight up (SU) and have netted 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this year. That win percentage, the league’s third-best so far in the early season, is a big slide from what the team managed during the 2018-19 season (62-20). Of the team’s 53 games this season, 28 have gone over the total, while 22 have gone under and just three have pushed. The team is 16-9 SU at home this year.

Tampa Bay has converted on 25.0 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s good enough for fourth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is rated fourth overall, and it’s successfully killed off 84.0 percent of all penalties.

Tampa Bay, as a collective unit, has been called for penalties 3.9 times per game overall this season, and 3.2 per game over its last five home outings. The team’s had to kill penalties for just 6.9 minutes per game over its last 10 outings, in total.

With a .917 save percentage and 28.2 saves per game, Andrei Vasilevskiy (27-12-3) has been the top goalkeeper for the Lightning this year. If the Bolts choose to rest him, however, the team could turn to Curtis McElhinney (6-8-8 record, .909 save percentage, 2.88 goals against average).

The Bolts will continue to rely on offensive production from Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos. Kucherov (63 points) has put up 24 goals and 39 assists and has recorded multiple points on 18 different occasions this year. Stamkos has 24 goals and 33 assists to his name and has notched at least one point in 34 contests.

Over on the visiting bench, Pittsburgh is 33-19 straight up (SU) and has earned 9.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. 26 of its contests have gone over the total, while 25 have gone under the total and just one has pushed. Pittsburgh’s 14-11 SU as the road team this season.

Pittsburgh has converted on 19.9 percent of its power play chances this year, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked ninth overall and it’s successfully killed off 82.1 percent of all opponent power plays.

Pittsburgh’s skaters have been penalized only 3.3 times per game this season, and 4.8 per game over their last five road outings. The team’s had to kill penalties just 7.9 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Tristan Jarry (27.2 saves per game) has been the primary choice in the net for Pittsburgh. Jarry has 17 wins, nine losses, and one OT loss to his credit, while registering a .928 save percentage and 2.19 goals against average this year.

For the visiting Penguins, a lot of the offense will run through Evgeni Malkin, who’s got 38 assists and 16 goals this year.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Predictions

Free NHL Pick: SU Winner – Lightning, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is 3-0 in games decided by a shootout this season while Tampa Bay is 2-0 in shootouts.

Three of Pittsburgh’s last five outings have gone over the total.

Pittsburgh’s attempted 32.2 shots per contest overall this season (the second-most in the NHL), and 30.6 in its last five road outings.

Tampa Bay has allowed 2.8 goals per game overall this season, but has allowed just 1.8 per match up in its last four games (the team is a perfect 4-0 SU over that span).

Over Tampa Bay’s last ten outings, five of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 4-1 in those games).

This game features two of the more physical teams in the league. Pittsburgh skaters have accounted for the third-most hits in the league (28.4 per game) while the Lightning have recorded the 10th-most (22.8).

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