Pittsburgh at No. 13 Penn State Free Pick 9/14/19


The Pittsburgh Panthers and No. 13 Penn State Nittany Lions are ready to do battle on the grass at Beaver Stadium. ABC is scheduled to have the TV rights and this vital afternoon game gets underway at 12:00 p.m. ET. When the two teams met last year, Penn State knocked off Pittsburgh handily 51-6.

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Pittsburgh at No. 13 Penn State Betting Odds 9/14/2019

In this Saturday matchup, Penn State is getting picked as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 17 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put down $1,400 in order to win $100 back on the Nittany Lions (-1400). The Panthers are getting +780 moneyline odds. If one school finds paydirt in the early stages it will generate a nice live betting scenario. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points.

The game’s over/under was placed originally at 52, but sharp bettors have been hammering the over.

The Panthers are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-2.

The Nittany Lions have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 2-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-0.

The Panthers have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Nittany Lions are 2-0 SU.

The Panthers enter after a 20-10 win over Ohio last week. Kenny Pickett completed 26 passes on 37 attempts for 321 yards and one touchdown. A.J. Davis (89 rushing yards on 13 attempts) and Vincent Davis (50 yards on 12 carries, one TD) propelled the ground attack while Maurice Ffrench (10 receptions, 138 yards, one TD) and Will Gragg (four catches, 38 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Penn State takes the field this week having just earned a 45-13 win over Buffalo. The team’s defense let the Bulls run for 184 yards on 58 rush attempts. Antonio Nunn was a bright spot in the defeat for Buffalo, accounting for 113 yards on five catches. For Penn State, Sean Clifford completed 16-of-22 passes for 279 yards and four touchdowns. Clifford (51 yards on 11 rush attempts) handled the running game while Pat Freiermuth (eight receptions, 99 yards, two TDs) and Jahan Dotson (four catches, 109 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Pittsburgh has run the ball on 46.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Penn State has an overall rush percentage of 53.9 percent. The Panthers have produced 119 rush yards per game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Nittany Lions are putting up 205 rush yards per game and have eight total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Nittany Lions could hold an advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 5.9 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 2.2 to opponents. The Panthers have rushed for 3.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 2.6 to opponents.

The Panthers offensive scheme has tallied 253 yards per contest through the air overall and has two passing TDs so far. The Nittany Lions have recorded 311 pass yards per contest and have seven total pass scores.

Defensively, Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 82 yards and pass for 179 yards per game. The Penn State D has given up 193 yards per game to opposing passers and 94.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Nittany Lions are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.15 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers have allowed a 4.76 ANY/A.

Clifford has been more efficient than Pickett of late. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 13.92 for the season and 13.92 over his past two outings while Pickett’s ANY/A is 8.87 and 5.11 over his last two.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – Penn State, ATS Winner – Penn State, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

The Pittsburgh defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this season. Penn State has recorded eight sacks.

Penn State has lost two fumbles in 2019 while the Pittsburgh offense has yet to lose any.

The Nittany Lions have made four pass plays of 30+ yards while the Panthers have accounted for two such plays.

The Pittsburgh defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Penn State has given up two such plays.

The Pittsburgh offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Penn State has created four such runs.

The Panthers defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Nittany Lions have given up two such runs.

The Over/Under for Penn State’s last outing was set at 57. The over cashed in the 45-13 win over Buffalo.

The O/U for Pittsburgh’s last game was set at 54.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-10 victory over Ohio.

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