Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick 01/26/20

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The Memphis Grizzlies (21-24) will be at home in FedExForum when they take on the Phoenix Suns (19-26). Memphis opened as a 2.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 236 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 26, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds Preview

In the Suns’ last game, they were victorious over the San Antonio Spurs, 103-99, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. Devin Booker was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points on 11-for-20 shooting. The Suns held the Spurs to an effective field goal percentage of 0.455 (below their season average of 0.530) and had a better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 13.1). The two teams combined to score 202 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 225.

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The Grizzlies hope to maintain momentum after easily covering the 2-point spread against the Detroit Pistons in their last game, 125-112. Memphis was lifted by Jaren Jackson Jr., who was the game’s high scorer with 29 points on 10-for-14 shooting. Memphis dominated nearly every stat category in the contest. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.354 (above their season average of 0.172) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.614 (above their season average of 0.534). Detroit recorded marks of 0.253 and 0.489, respectively, for those same stats. Combined, the two teams scored 237 points, which was over the projected point total of 231.5.

These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Grizzlies winning two of them. In the most recent matchup, the Suns lost 121-114, unable to cover as 7-point favorites. Booker scored a game-high 40 points and also put up six assists. The two teams combined to put up 235 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 236 points. Memphis was lights out from beyond the arc (18-42; 42.9 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.5 vs. 8.1).

Of Phoenix’s 45 games, 24 have finished over the projected point total, while 23 of Memphis’ 45 games have finished over the O/U total. The Grizzlies have the superior straight up (SU) record (21-24 vs. 19-26), but both teams have the same against the spread (ATS) record (23-21-1).

Memphis appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Grizzlies currently rank eighth in effective field goal percentage (0.535), while Phoenix ranks 25th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.539). Also, the Suns rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.221), while the Grizzlies rank 27th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.224).

Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.2) while the Grizzlies rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.9).

Memphis averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.9).

Phoenix ranks eighth in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while Memphis ranks 27th (14.4).

Phoenix is 13-7 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 13-12 ATS at home.

In 20 road games, the Suns have 11 unders and 9 overs.

Of the Grizzlies’ 25 home games, they have 14 overs and 11 unders.

Memphis is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 6-2.

The Grizzlies are 21-18 when they score more than 100 points, while the Suns are 18-21.

The Suns rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (14.7).

Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Memphis ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.8).

The Grizzlies rank ninth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Suns rank 29th (3.8).

Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (55.3) while Phoenix ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.3).

Bettings Trends:

Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Phoenix is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 2.5 for the season.

During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (2.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (4.1 below their season average).

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