Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Game 1 Betting Pick 09/24/19

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The Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in the 2 game of a NL East doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to broadcast the action.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas has listed Philadelphia (+155) as the underdog to Washington (-165). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 8 runs and -110 for under 8. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -140 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +120 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

The Nationals are 86-69 straight up (SU) and 85-69 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 11.2 units ATS. The Phillies are 79-76 SU and have gone 74-80 ATS. They’re down 4.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.2 units ATS.

Washington games have a 72-74-8 over/under record in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 73-77-4.

The right-handed Aaron Nola is the probable starter for the visiting Phillies. Nola (12-6, 3.75 ERA) has racked up 220 strikeouts in 196.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 6.46 ERA against Washington this year (three starts).

The Nationals will turn to righty Max Scherzer (10-7, 2.81 ERA), who has 233 strikeouts and 32 walks, along with a 1.03 WHIP. Scherzer is 1-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 0.75 ERA across two starts against Philadelphia this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.58 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.37.

The Phillies offense has slashed .246/.322/.427 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .281/.334/.401 with 12 home runs, 69 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Segura has a .279 average with 12 homers, 59 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.87 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 72 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.45.

The Washington hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .271/.368/.401 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Rendon is slashing .325/.412/.608 with 34 home runs, 122 RBIs and 114 runs scored, while Eaton’s line sits at .283/.367/.435 with 15 homers, 48 RBIs, 99 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Phillies have gained 4.9 units and are 57-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 55 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 5.2 units and are 63-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 56 of those games, compared to 55 that went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.

The Phillies have lost four of their last five games SU while the Nationals have won three of their last four.

Washington has posted 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.

The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit nine over their last 10.

The Phillies have a total OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .736 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .794 overall and .782 against righties.

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