Home NBA Free NBA Picks Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 03/07/20

Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 03/07/20

The Golden State Warriors (14-49) will attempt to put an end to a 10-game home losing streak when they challenge the Philadelphia 76ers (38-25) at Chase Center. Philadelphia opened as a 2.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2020.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Preview

The last time the 76ers played, they defeated the Sacramento Kings, 125-108, despite being 5.5-point underdogs. Tobias Harris was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 11-for-22 shooting. The 76ers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.4, had a superb mark of 29.8, while the Kings had a turnover percentage of 16.4 (above their season average of 12.4). The two teams combined to put up 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 219.

Although the Warriors were beaten by the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup, 121-113, they did cover as 9-point underdogs. With 17 points and 12 rebounds, Golden State’s Marquese Chriss played well. Toronto did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (28-31; 90.3 percent). Golden State, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.0 (above their season average of 21.6). Combined, the two clubs scored 234 points, which was over the O/U total of 228.5.

Second-chance points could be hard to come by for Golden State in this contest. The Warriors rank 22nd in offensive rebounding percentage (21.7 percent), while Philadelphia ranks second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.3 percent).

Of Philadelphia’s 63 games, 33 have finished over the O/U total, while 35 of Golden State’s 63 games have finished under the O/U total. The 76ers have the superior straight up (SU) record (38-25 vs. 14-49), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Philadelphia is 28-31-4 ATS, while Golden State is 29-33-1 ATS.

Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the 76ers, it’s been Shake Milton, who has averaged 19 points,5.0 assists,1.4 steals, while the Warriors have gotten great contributions from Eric Paschall (20 points,3.8 assists).

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 219 points, just over the projected point total of 215. The 76ers won 115-104, but were unable to cover as 14-point favorites. One of Philadelphia’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 26 free throw attempts, while Golden State had 21. In the loss, D’Angelo Russell led all scorers with 28 points.

76ers at Warriors Betting Prediction

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while the Warriors rank 19th (34.7).

Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Golden State ranks 15th (5.0).

Philadelphia ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Golden State ranks 21st (13.4).

Philadelphia ranks 19th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while Golden State ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).

Philadelphia is 11-21-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 12-19-1 ATS at home.

The 76ers have 17 overs, 15 unders and 1 push in 33 road games.

Of the Warriors’ 32 home games, they have 18 unders and 14 overs.

When allowing below 100 points, Philadelphia is 14-1 and Golden State is 6-2.

When scoring over 100 points, the Warriors are 14-32 and the 76ers are 34-12.

The 76ers average 14.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.2).

Philadelphia ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while Golden State ranks 26th (46.5).

The 76ers rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while the Warriors rank 28th (26.0).

The 76ers rank 19th in points in the paint per game (47.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (43.6).

Philadelphia ranks sixth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Golden State ranks 26th (8.4).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 8.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (4.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (8.4 above their season average).

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