Last Updated: 2019-11-08
The Denver Nuggets (5-2) will be at home in the Pepsi Center when they meet the Philadelphia 76ers (5-2). Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019, and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Preview
The 76ers lost a close one to the Utah Jazz in their last matchup, 106-104, but were able to cover as 3-point underdogs. With 27 points on 5-for-16 shooting, Joel Embiid was the game’s high scorer. Utah had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 14.0). Philadelphia, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (30-34; 88.2 percent). The two teams combined to score 210 points, which came in just over the projected point total of 209.
The last time the Nuggets took the court, they easily covered the 4.5-point spread against the Miami Heat, 109-89. Denver’s Will Barton was a key piece with 15 points and 10 rebounds. Denver’s 0.576 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Miami, who had a mark of 0.415. The Nuggets’ mark was above their season average of 0.477, while the Heat’s was below their season average of 0.560. The two clubs combined to record 198 points, which came in under the O/U total of 210.5.
Denver should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Since the 2018-19 season, Denver ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.5 percent), while Philadelphia has forced the second-fewest turnovers (12.1 percent).
These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games including Philadelphia have finished over 57.1 percent of the time, while 85.7 percent of Denver games have finished under. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (5-2 for Philadelphia; 5-2 for Denver), but the 76ers have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS, while the Nuggets are 3-3-1.
Each team won one of the two games played against each other last season. The 76ers won the most recent matchup 117-110. Philadelphia was successful at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The 76ers made 29 of their 32 free throws (90.6 percent), while the Nuggets were 12-13 (92.3 percent).
76ers vs. Nuggets ATS Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over
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Betting Notes (2018-Present):
The 76ers rank second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Nuggets rank 13th (4.9).
Philadelphia ranks second in rebounds per game (47.8) while Denver ranks seventh (46.5).
Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (22.7) while Denver ranks 10th (23.9).
Denver ranks 19th in steals per game (7.5) while Philadelphia ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Denver is 31-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Philadelphia is 16-1.
In games where they reach the century mark, the 76ers are 62-27 and the Nuggets are 60-26.
The 76ers rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (30.2) while the Nuggets rank 10th (31.1).
Denver ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while Philadelphia ranks 24th (17.5).
The Nuggets rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while the 76ers rank 22nd (14.6).
The Nuggets lead the league with 15.5 second chance points per game while the 76ers are fifth with 14.2 second chance points per game.
Denver averages 51.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.8).