A low-scoring game should be expected when the Boston Celtics (32-15) and the Philadelphia 76ers (31-18) face off at TD Garden. Action gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 1, 2020.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics ATS Preview
The last time the 76ers played, they fell to the Atlanta Hawks, 127-117, despite being 6-point favorites. With 31 points on 10-for-15 shooting, Ben Simmons led Philadelphia in scoring. Atlanta held the 76ers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.4 (below their season average of 23.3). Philadelphia, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 13.4). The two teams combined to score 244 points, which was well over the projected point total of 228.
The Celtics hope to maintain momentum after covering the 13.5-point spread against the Golden State Warriors in their last contest, 119-104. Boston received a boost from Gordon Hayward, who was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 8-for-15 shooting. The Celtics, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.6, had an absurd mark of 34.1 and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.563 (above their season average of 0.529). The two teams collectively scored 223 points, which came in just under the O/U total of 224.5.
This contest figures to be low-scoring as two of the NBA’s best defenses face off. Boston ranks fifth in defensive efficiency (104.1) and Philadelphia is third (103.7).
Of Philadelphia’s 49 games, 24 have finished over the projected point total, while 26 of Boston’s 47 games have finished under the O/U total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (31-18 for Philadelphia; 32-15 for Boston), but the Celtics have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Boston is 28-18-1 ATS, while the 76ers are 22-24-3.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the 76ers, it’s been Simmons, who has averaged 23 points,8.6 rebounds,8.2 assists,2.8 steals, while the Celtics have gotten solid contributions from Hayward (20 points,7.6 rebounds,3.4 assists).
These two teams have met three times already this year, with the 76ers winning all three. Josh Richardson scored a game-high 29 points in the most recent matchup, in which the 76ers defeated the Celtics 109-98, covering as 1-point favorites. He also recorded seven assists. The two teams combined to put up 207 points, which was 12 points below the projected point total of 219 points. The 76ers played a flawless game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 and a free throw rate of 0.136. The Celtics had marks of 18.6 and 0.091, respectively, for those same stats.
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics Prediction
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
Boston ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (12.0).
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Boston ranks ninth (44.0).
The Celtics rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the 76ers rank 11th (7.3).
Philadelphia is 9-15-1 ATS on the road, while Boston is 14-10 ATS at home.
Boston is 4-1 ATS with 5 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 6.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (2.8 above their season average).