The Waves and Toreros are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Toreros will host the game at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Pepperdine is favored by -1.5 in this West Coast conference contest against San Diego. The game’s over/under currently sits at 156.5 points.


The Pick: San Diego Toreros +1.5

This game will be played at Orleans Arena at 9:00 ET on Friday, March 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Toreros.
  • Not only will San Diego pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Pepperdine Come Through as Road Favorites?

Pepperdine will be looking to build off their 102-43 win over Pacific. On the season, the Waves are 13-19, including a 6-11 mark in West Coast Conference play. On the road, they are 3-10, and as the favorite, they are 9-4.

So far, the Waves have been favored in 13 of their 32 games, going 9-4 in those matchups. On the other hand, they are 2-15 as the underdog. This season, Pepperdine has an average scoring differential of -13.1 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Pepperdine has gone 9-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Waves are 6-4. On the road, Pepperdine is 4-9 vs. the spread this season and their last 3 road games ATS mark is 1-2.

On the season, the over/under record for Pepperdine is 15-13-2 and today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

The Pepperdine offense is coming off a game where they scored 102 points against Pacific. They posted a field goal percentage of 60% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Michael Ajayi, who holds an average of 17.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Houston Mallette is averaging 14.6 points per game this season.

So far, the Waves’ defense is ranked 245th in the country at 74.6 points per contest. The Pepperdine defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 43 points and allowed Pacific to connect on 7 threes.

Is a Home Win Possible for San Diego?

San Diego will be looking to even up their record at home this season as they are 11-8 at home compared to 4-7 on the road. As the underdog, the Toreros have gone 8-13 this season. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -1.2 points per game.

San Diego is coming off a win in their last game, an 81-69 victory over Pacific. Over their last 10 games at home, the Toreros have gone 4-6. So far this season, they have gone 17-14 overall and 7-10 in West Coast Conference play.

As the underdog this season, San Diego has gone 10-11 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 8-11 and their last 10 home ATS mark is 3-6. Overall, the Toreros are 13-17 ATS this year.

San Diego’s over/under record on the season is 18-12 and today’s line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 152 points.

Coming off their recent game, the San Diego offense tallied 81 points in a matchup against Pacific. Their field goal percentage for the game was 40.9%, and they made 9 threes. In terms of offense, the Toreros have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 258th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 112nd in percentage and 225th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Toreros’ defense holds the 297th rank in the nation, allowing 77.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. Pepperdine. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.4%.