The Meo Rip Curl Pro Portugal begins on Tuesday with Gabriel Medina and John John Florence listed as co-favorites at odds of 7-1. With just two events remaining in the season the title race has come down to these two surfers with Florence holding a 2,700 point lead. That may sounds like a lot but it is really not much more than a couple of heats so the title race is going to come down to the final event in Hawaii in December.  Let’s look at this event in Portugal which runs from October 18th – 29th and surfing predictions.

Odds to Win Meo Rip Curl Pro Portugal

Gabriel Medina 7-1

John John Florence 7-1

Filipe Toledo 8-1

Kelly Slater 12-1

Jordy Smith 13-1

Julian Smith 13-1

Kolohe Andino 15-1

Italo Ferreira 18-1

Adriano de Souza 18-1

Joel Parkinson 23-1

Jeremy Flores 23-1

Nat Young 26-1

Josh Kerr 26-1

Michel Bourez 34-1

Keanu Asing 34-1

Matt Wilkinson 34-1

Jack Freestone 34-1

Sebastian Zietz 34-1

Caio Ibelli 34-1

Adrian Buchan 36-1

Stuart Kennedy 36-1

Conner Coffin 36-1

Dusty Payne 36-1

Davey Cathels 36-1

Kai Otton 41-1

Matt Banting 46-1

Adam Melling 46-1

All of the other surfers are listed with odds of 50-1 or more or they are part of the field.

Round 1 Matchups

Heat 1: Julian Wilson, Nat Young, Kai Otton

Heat 2: Kolohe Andino, Keanu Asing, Alex Ribeiro

Heat 3: Jordy Smith, Kanoa Igarashi, Jeremy Flores

Heat 4: Matt Wilkinson, Miguel Pupo, Ryan Callinan

Heat 5: Gabriel Medina, Conner Coffin, Frederico Morais

Heat 6: John John Florence, Jadson Andre, Miguel Blanco

Heat 7: Filipe Toledo, Wiggolly Dantas, Adam Melling

Heat 8: Kelly Slater, Stu Kennedy, Matt Banting

Heat 9: Adrian Buchan, Josh Kerr, Alejo Muniz

Heat 10: Adriano de Souza, Caio Ibelli, Jack Freestone

Heat 11: Joel Parkinson, Michel Bourez, Davey Cathels

Heat 12: Italo Ferreira, Sebastian Zietz, Dusty Payne

Florence and Medina

With just two events to go it is Florence leading by 2,700 points. It could have been just 700 but Medina was upset in the final of the Quik Pro.

I would've loved the win but making the Final brings the gap closer, it feels good to be closer. This was a good warm-up for Portugal, I'll never give it up." Medina said. Whichever of the two surfers finishes higher in Portugal will likely head to Hawaii with the point’s lead.

WSL Standings (Top 5)

1. John John Florence 48,150 points
2. Gabriel Medina 45,450 points
3. Matt Wilkinson 38,250 points
4. Jordy Smith 35,700 points
5. Kolohe Andino 32,150 points

Event Notes

This event takes place in Peniche, Portugal which is one of the best spots on the World Surf Championship Tour.  The waves are varied which means anything is possible. Supertubos is thought of by many as one of Europe's best beach breaks. Filipe Toledo won this event last year while Mick Fanning won two years ago.

Surfing Predictions

I will take Medina at odds of 7-1 and then go with a couple of longshots with Ferreira at odds of 18-1 and Parkinson at odds of 23-1.