NFL Football Betting Preview
New York Jets (3-0) at New Orleans Saints (3-0)
Superdome Sunday October 4th, 4:05PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Saints -7, 45 O/U
A pair of unbeaten teams will square off in the Louisiana Superdome this Sunday when the New Orleans Saints host the New York Jets. The Saints have been stellar in the opening 3 games led by an offense who leads the NFL for the 2nd straight season in total yards and a quarterback who also leads the league with 9 touchdown passes. However, they will face the toughest defense to date in way of the New York Jets. The Jets were not expected to have such a successful start considering rookie Mark Sanchez would be starting behind center without any experience. However, the Jets defense has been sensational holding teams to just 11 points per game and are playing as well as anyone in the AFC.
The Jets 3-0 start may not get the respect it deserves considering there are 6 other teams who are also 3-0. However, the Jets without any doubt have the most impressive start considering their wins were against Houston, New England, and Tennessee. The Jets defense held the Texans talented offense to just 7 points and then in a more impressive performance held the Patriots to just 9 points without a single touchdown. The defense will be a big factor this weekend as they try and tackle the best offense in the league that is averaging 430 yards per game. The Jets pass defense has held those talented passing teams to just 173 yards per game. If they can keep the Saints to similar numbers throwing the football, their chances at reaching 4-0 will be very feasible.
The Saints high powered passing attack is always the forefront of their offensive success. However, the Saints rushing game is contributing more this season to add some balance to the offense. The Saints rushed for 222 yards in last week’s 27-7 victory over Buffalo which was the first time the team reached the 200 mark in rushing since the division playoffs following the 2006 season. Starting running back Mike Bell missed the game with a banged up knee, but Pierre Thomas did not disappoint in his first outing carrying the ball just 14 times while racking up 126 yards on the game. Thomas scored twice and Lynell Hamilton added another touchdown on the ground as the Saints failed to score a passing touchdown. Brees was held to less than 200 yards passing for the first time in 23 games. However, if the Saints can get that type of success on the ground then perhaps Brees will not have to attempt 35 passes a game. However, the passing game is still the strength of the team. Brees threw 9 touchdowns in his first two games which is still more than any player in the league despite not throwing any last week. The Saints quarterback looks to bounce back this week at home against a pretty talented defense.
The Jets run the ball real well which also compliments their defensive numbers. The Jets have been able to establish ball control through their running game which also helps keep opposing offenses off the field Tailbacks Thomas Jones and Leon Washington have both gotten over 40 carries a piece while averaging 4 yards per carry. The yards both backs have been able to produce is not very impressive, but they have been able to move the chains when needed most. QB Mark Sanchez has performed perhaps better than expected for a rookie. Sanchez is completing 60% with 4 touchdowns and 2 picks on the season. Sanchez is averaging 202 yards per game and has played well. Sanchez had a hand in all 3 touchdowns in last week’s victory over Tennessee throwing 2 and rushing for another. If the Jets are to tame an extremely tough Saints offense they must accomplish it one of two ways. First and most importantly their running game must step up and control the clock which keeps their offense off the field. If that happens, the game will be low scoring like all the Jets game thus far this season. If that does not happen, Sanchez may have to have a career day.
Betting Trends -
The Jets are 3-0 ATS this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games dating back to last year. New York is also profiting 4-2 ATS on the road in their last 6 games and have followed the under in 4 of their last 5 games. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games while also going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. The Saints have favored the over in 5 of their last 7 games as well.
Pick – Jets have a great shot at winning this one. Take Jets +7