Hey All – Its the “retired bookie” coming at ya. BTB and I go way back. He actually started his gambling thru me so I had a bunch of years of profitability from him until he learned a thing or two. Now we remain good friends and he has asked me to give a couple picks daily so I will be doing it right here in the blog for now. My write-ups will be thoughts, analytics for some content but the picks go much deeper and I cant write all that much. So excuse the grammar problems and any of that nonsense and lets just win… I will re-post this opening paragraph along with my record each day!
Tuesday, December 28 2010
@8:00 Minnesota (5-9) at Philadelphia (10-4)
Vick proved last week he only needs a few possessions to post a monster line. #7 compiled the vast majority of his stats in the second half of an epic comeback victory against the Giants, finishing with 242 yards and 4 total TDs. A home matchup with a mediocre Vikings defense should equate to another dominating performance from Vick. The Vikings defense has fallen apart just as quickly as the offense has in recent weeks, ranking 26th against the run through the last 2 games. The Giants held McCoy in check last week, but we don't see the struggling Vikings accomplishing that feat this Sunday. Look for another 100-yard game from Shady. DeSean Jackson may still be running after last Sunday's miraculous game-winning punt return TD as time expired. There's no way you can bench this powder keg. Especially with a matchup this Sunday against a Vikings pass defense that has thrown in the towel. DeSean Jackson has stolen the spotlight the last couple weeks, but Maclin just keeps humming along. He scored his 9th and 10th TDs of the season last week, posting his 3rd multi-TD game. That explosive ability makes him nearly impossible to ignore, especially this week against a Vikings defense with nothing left to play for.
It's tough to see such an elite talent go to waste. But unless QB Brett Favre suits up this week, Rice is in trouble. QB Joe Webb has proven incapable of getting him the ball, and we don't expect that to change against a blitz-happy Eagles defense that figures to get in Webb's head early. Harvin's 72-yard, 1-TD performance last Monday night was his best since Week 9. But he did most of that damage with Brett Favre under center. If he's unable to play this week, Harvin figures to struggle right along with the rest of Minnesota's passing game with Joe Webb at the controls.
Pick: Under 42
@10:00 No. 12 Missouri (10-2) vs Iowa (7-5)
The Missouri Tigers come in to this Insight Bowl winners of 8 of their last 10 games and 3 in a row; will square off against the Iowa Hawkeyes. In Iowa’s last 3 match-ups, the Iowa Hawkeyes improved defense production from their seasonal average of their defensive end of the ball from 15.2 to 11.7 points a contest, 403.1 total yards to a stingy 298.3 per encounter, 203.8 to 153.3 passing yards.
Losers of 3 consecutive match-ups, the Iowa Hawkeyes’ defense have fallen down in every statistical category: From 16.4 to 22.7 points, 312.5 to 387.3 total yards, 213.6 to 226.3 passing yards, 98 to 161 rushing yards. Iowa has no right to be in this bowl match-up.
Pick: Missouri +3