The Pepperdine Waves (7-4) will attempt to keep their five-game winning streak alive when they take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs (8-3) at McCarthey Athletic Center. Action begins at 9:00 pm ET on Monday, Dec. 21 and can be seen on ES2 and ES3.
The Bulldogs enter this game hoping for similar success after topping Tennessee 86-79 on Saturday. Domantas Sabonis played a pivotal role, recording his fifth double-double of the season with 36 points and 16 rebounds. The Waves, meanwhile, are coming off a 79-59 win against Louisiana-Lafayette on Friday. Jett Raines led the game in scoring by accounting for 21 points on 8-for-11 shooting.
Sabonis has taken his game to another level over the last five games for the Bulldogs. During that stretch, he has averaged 21.8 points, 12.4 rebounds, 0.6 steals, and 0.6 blocks.
This one isn't expected to be close when Gonzaga, a substantial 12-point favorite, takes on Pepperdine. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of 135 points.
For updated lines, check out BTB's College Basketball Odds.
Despite being 8-3 Straight Up (SU), the Bulldogs have struggled to cover the spread in most of their matchups, only managing a record of 2-6-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The rebounding edge goes to the Bulldogs in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation with an average of 42.9 boards per game. Turning to the defensive side, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score on the Bulldogs. The 62.7 points that Gonzaga's defense allows per game makes them the 29th-ranked defense in the country. Gonzaga's defense can be considered one of the best in the country. The Bulldogs allow a .378 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the country.
In the other locker room, the Waves are unsuccessful ATS with a 4-6 record even though they have a 7-4 SU record. The Waves allow just 67.8 points per road game, ranking them 49th in the nation. The Waves allow very few three-pointers on defense with 4.0 given up per game.
These conference foes meet for what will be their first head-to-head battle of the season. Gonzaga won the last game in the matchup, bumping its SU record to 10-0 over Pepperdine in their most recent meetings. With a 6-3-1 record, the Bulldogs also have the advantage ATS. Gonzaga held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers four times in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Pepperdine never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pepper, ATS Winner - Pepper, O/U - Over
Pepperdine is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pepperdine's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pepperdine's last 9 games when playing on the road against Gonzaga.
Pepperdine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Gonzaga.
Pepperdine is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Gonzaga.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Gonzaga's last 9 games when playing at home against Pepperdine.
Pepperdine scores an average of just 71.2 points per game (ranked 223rd). Gonzaga ranks 29th in points allowed, giving up 62.7 points per game.
Pepperdine scores just 68.7 points per away game (ranked 176th). Gonzaga ranks 96th in points allowed at home, giving up 62.9 points.
The Pepperdine Waves have a defensive rating of 93.2 (ranked 44th), while the Gonzaga Bulldogs have an offensive rating of 109.5 (ranked 112th).
On average, Gonzaga has 69.5 possessions per game and scores 1.095 points on each possession. Pepperdine has both fewer possessions (69.2) and scores fewer points during those possessions (1.028).
Gonzaga has an average effective field goal percentage of 52.7%. Pepperdine is a losing 1-2 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, Gonzaga attempts 19.0 three pointers and Pepperdine attempts 15.0. Both teams have winning records when they have 20 or more three point attempts. The Gonzaga Bulldogs sit at 5-2 and the Pepperdine Waves are 2-1.
Pepperdine ranks 141st in offensive rebounds, while Gonzaga ranks at eighth in defensive rebounds.
Gonzaga has forced an average turnover percentage of 16.7% this season. Pepperdine is an even 3-3 when its TO% is 16.7% or higher.