Home NBA Free NBA Picks Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds Pick 02/29/20

Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds Pick 02/29/20

The San Antonio Spurs (24-33) will be at home in the AT&T Center when they meet the Orlando Magic (27-32). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and it can be seen on KENS-TV 5.

Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The last time the Magic played, they beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, 136-125, despite being 3-point underdogs. With 17 points, 12 assists and 11 rebounds, Aaron Gordon led the way for Orlando with his zeroth triple-double this season. Orlando played a flawless game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.0 (above their season average of 22.2) and a free throw rate of 0.184 (below their season average of 0.189). Minnesota was 12.0 and 0.168, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 261 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 230.5.

The Spurs are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 4-point underdogs in their 109-103 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last contest. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio in scoring with 27 points on 9-for-15 shooting. Dallas had a free throw rate of 0.233 (above their season average of 0.203). San Antonio, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5 (above their season average of 20.3). The two clubs combined to put up 212 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 233.

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to put up 220 points, which was over the projected point total of 212.5. The Magic won 111-109, covering as 2-point favorites. The Magic played a nearly flawless game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.310 and a great offensive rebounding percentage of 29.8. The Spurs had marks of 0.067 and 19.0, respectively, for those same stats. Al-Farouq Aminu recorded a double-double with 13 points and 13 rebounds.

Of Orlando’s 58 games that accepted bets, 30 have finished under the projected point total, while 34 of San Antonio’s 57 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Magic are 27-32 SU and 25-29-4 ATS, while the Spurs are 24-33 SU and 23-32-2 ATS.

It could be a tough game for San Antonio on the offensive glass. The Spurs are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 29th in offensive rebounding percentage at 20.4 percent. Meanwhile, Orlando ranks seventh in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 78.7 percent. Ball security should be an advantage for the Magic. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.9 percent). Conversely, the Spurs force the fourth-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.0 percent).

Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Magic rank 13th in assists allowed per game (24.2) while the Spurs rank 27th (25.7).

San Antonio averages 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Orlando ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).

Orlando ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.6) while San Antonio ranks 15th (13.2).

Orlando is 25th in the NBA with 45.5 points in the paint per game while San Antonio is 29th with 43.3 points in the paint per game.

On the road, Orlando is 15-12-2 ATS with 16 overs, 12 unders and 1 push.

San Antonio is 9-18 ATS at home with 14 overs, 12 unders and 1 push.

Orlando is 12-4 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while San Antonio is 2-0.

In games where they score over 100 points, the Magic are 23-13 and the Spurs are 24-28.

The Magic rank 19th in three pointers attempted per game (32.0) while the Spurs rank 29th (28.5).

Orlando ranks fifth in steals per game (8.5) while San Antonio ranks 22nd (6.9).

The Magic rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Spurs rank 18th (13.2).

The Magic rank fifth in blocks per game (5.9) while the Spurs rank ninth (5.4).

Orlando ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while San Antonio ranks 25th (14.8).

Bettings Trends:

San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Orlando is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs.

The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 1.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 120.6 points per game (15.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.4 points per game (12.0 above their season average).

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