Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets ATS Odds Pick 12/18/19


The Denver Nuggets (17-8), the league’s top scoring defense, will clash against the Orlando Magic (12-15) at Pepsi Center. Denver opened as a 9-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 203 points. Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 18, 2019, and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.

Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets Odds Preview

The Magic were beaten by the Utah Jazz in their last outing, 109-102. They failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic finished with 12 points and 11 rebounds in the contest. Utah held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 7.7 (below their season average of 22.9). Orlando, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 2.9 (better than their season average of 11.6). The two teams combined to score 211 points, which was under the projected point total of 216.5.

The last time the Nuggets were in action, they topped the New York Knicks, 111-105, but they were unable to cover as 10-point favorites. With 25 points on 10-for-22 shooting, Nikola Jokic was the game’s high scorer. Denver played a flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.138 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 8.1 (better than their season average of 11.7). New York had marks of 0.096 and 10.1, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams collectively scored 216 points, which finished over the projected point total of 207.5.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Denver ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.7) and Orlando is 29th (99.5). Furthermore, the 25th-ranked offense of the Magic (offensive efficiency of 104.0) will face a tough challenge against the fourth-ranked defense of the Nuggets (defensive efficiency of 101.8).

Of Orlando’s 26 games that accepted bets, 13 have finished over the projected point total, while 18 of Denver’s 25 games have finished under the O/U total. The Nuggets have the significant advantage straight up (SU) (17-8 vs. 12-15), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Denver is 10-12-3, while Orlando is 11-13-2 ATS.

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to put up 178 points, well under the projected point total of 199.5. The Nuggets won 91-87, covering as 4-point favorites. Getting to the free throw line was one of Denver’s biggest advantages. They had 39 free throw attempts, while Orlando had just 11. Despite the loss, Aaron Gordon had a standout performance with 21 points and nine rebounds.

Magic vs. Nuggets Betting Prediction

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Nuggets rank 15th in second chance points per game (13.0) while the Magic rank 26th (12.0).

Denver averages 46.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Orlando ranks 12th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).

Orlando ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Denver ranks eighth (7.2).

On the road, Orlando is 7-5 ATS with 6 overs and 6 unders.

Denver is 6-7-1 ATS at home with 10 unders and 4 overs.

Orlando is 6-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Denver is 10-1.

When scoring over 100 points, the Nuggets are 15-4 and the Magic are 9-6.

The Nuggets are second in the NBA with 14.0 points off turnovers allowed per game while the Magic are fourth with 14.5 points off turnovers allowed per game.

Denver ranks fifth in assists per game (26.3) while Orlando ranks 23rd (22.7).

The Magic rank second in blocks per game (6.5) while the Nuggets rank 18th (5.0).

Denver ranks 13th in points in the paint per game (47.6) while Orlando ranks 27th (43.9).

Bettings Trends:

Denver is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Orlando is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.2, down from 4.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (1.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.8 points per game (8.3 above their season average).

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