Ole Miss at No. 2 Alabama College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19

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The Ole Miss Rebels (+36) are set to pay a visit to their SEC counterpart No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. CBS is scheduled to televise the action and this important daytime game gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Ole Miss at No. 2 Alabama Betting Odds 9/28/2019

Alabama has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 36 points to Ole Miss. If the Rebels get out in front early it’ll create a solid betting opportunity in-game. The over/under has been set at 61.5 points.

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With the spread opening at -34 and the over/under set initially at 61, oddsmakers have swayed this game’s outlook a bit.

The Rebels are 2-2 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play. The Rebels have lost 1.4 units so far in 2019 and are 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 2-2.

The Crimson Tide have gained 0.0 units this season. They’re 2-2 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Rebels dropped one to California 28-20 in a matchup where the Rebels completed 29-of-48 passes for 348 yards. Matt Corral went 22-for-41 for 266 yards while John Rhys Plumlee completed seven-of-seven for 82 yards. Corral (56 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Scottie Phillips (54 yards on 14 carries). Elijah Moore (11 receptions, 102 yards) and Braylon Sanders (five catches, 73 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Alabama just earned a 49-7 win over Southern Miss. The Tide defense held its territory in the victory, holding the Golden Eagles to only 174 passing yards and 52 rushing yards. De’Michael Harris had a good showing in the loss for Southern Miss, posting 34 rushing yards on eight attempts, along with 50 yards and a score on three catches. For Alabama, Tua Tagovailoa completed 17-of-21 passes for 293 yards and five touchdowns. Najee Harris (110 yards on 14 rush attempts) handled the running game as Jerry Jeudy (six receptions, 96 yards, two TDs) and Henry Ruggs III (four catches, 148 yards, two TDs) led the receiving corps in the win.

Ole Miss has run the ball on 59 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Alabama has an overall rush percentage of 50.2 percent. The Rebels have run for 179 yards/game and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tide are totaling 179 rush yards per contest and have nine total rushing TDs.

The Rebels have averaged 232 yards in the air overall and have four passing TDs so far. The Tide have produced a ridiculous 371 pass yards per outing and have 18 total pass scores.

Ole Miss has let opponents run for an average of 95 yards and throw for 289 yards per game. Alabama has allowed 98.8 yards per game on the ground and 189 to opponents in the air. The Tide are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.61 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have allowed a 6.08 ANY/A.

Corral is up to 605 pass yards this season. He’s connected on 47-of-84 attempts with two passing touchdowns and one interception. Corral has a 6.25 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.61 over the last two outings.

Tua Tagovailoa has put up 856 yards, 12 TDs and zero INTs for Alabama. His ANY/A stands at 13.90 for the season and 15.32 across his past two outings.

When these two squads faced each other last year, Alabama won handily 62-7.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Free Pick

SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Rebels offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Crimson Tide have put up five such plays.

The Ole Miss defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Alabama has given up one such play.

The Ole Miss offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Alabama has created four such runs.

The Rebels defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Crimson Tide have given up four such runs.

The Ole Miss defense has 12 sacks on the year while Alabama has nine.

Ole Miss has produced 4.5 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.5 over its last two.

Alabama has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.2 over its last two.

Over its last three contests, Alabama is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Ole Miss’ last game was set at 42. The over cashed in the team’s 28-20 loss to California.

Over its last three matches, Ole Miss is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Alabama’s last game was set at 63.5. The under cashed in the team’s 49-7 triumph over Southern Miss.

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