Ole Miss at Missouri College Football Betting Pick 10/12/19

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A couple of teams that like to run the football, Tigers (-12) are gearing up to welcome their in-conference foe Ole Miss Rebels to Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:00 p.m. ET and ESPN2 will broadcast the action.

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Ole Miss at Missouri Betting Odds 10/12/2019

Missouri is giving up 12 points in this SEC matchup. The Rebels are currently receiving +340 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -475. This SEC matchup should offer several in-game betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 55.5 points.

The Rebels are 3-3 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 4-1 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play. The Rebels have lost 0.4 units so far in 2019 and are 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 3-3.

The disappointing Tigers have lost 7.5 units this season. The team is 4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-4.

The Rebels hope to make it two in a row 31-6 victory over Vanderbilt last week. John Rhys Plumlee completed only 10 passes on 18 attempts for 99 yards. Plumlee (165 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) also led the running attack in the win and was complemented by Scottie Phillips (62 yards on 11 carries, one TD). Elijah Moore (four receptions, 40 yards) and Jonathan Mingo (two catches, 15 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Missouri Tigers just earned a 42-10 win over Troy. The defensive unit held its ground in the victory, holding the Trojans to just 150 passing yards and 61 yards on the ground. Trevon Woolfolk was a bright spot in the loss, recording 62 rushing yards on 18 attempts for Troy. As a group, the Tigers collectively completed 18-of-27 passes for 278 yards and three touchdowns. Kelly Bryant went 12-for-19 for 221 yards and three touchdowns while Taylor Powell was six-of-eight for 57 yards. Larry Rountree III (56 rushing yards on nine attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the win while Kam Scott (five receptions, 88 yards) and Badie (two catches, 18 yards) led the receiving corps.

Ole Miss has run the ball on 62 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Missouri has an overall rush percentage of 58 percent. The Rebels have rushed for 234 yards/game (including 310 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 12 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Tigers are putting up 193 rushing yards per contest and have eight total rush TDs.

The Rebels have tallied 204 yards/contest in the air overall (181 per game against conference opposition) and have seven passing scores so far. The Tigers have recorded 264 pass yards per game and have 11 total pass TDs.

Ole Miss has let opponents run for an average of 99 yards and pass for 296 yards per game. Missouri has been a bit better than that, allowing 88.8 yards per game on the ground and 138.4 to opponents in the air. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.21 to opponents, while the Rebels have given up a 6.76 ANY/A.

Plumlee has amassed 181 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 17-of-25 attempts with zero passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Plumlee has a 5.89 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.28 over the past two outings.

For the home team, Kelly Bryant has accounted for 1,019 yards, nine TDs and two INTs. Bryant’s ANY/A stands at 9.08 for the season and 8.71 over his past two outings.

These two SEC foes did not get a chance to face each other a year ago.

Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers Free Pick

SU Winner – Ole Miss, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

Ole Miss has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its past three contests and 6.8 over its last two.

Missouri has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 4.0 over its past two.

Missouri has lost three fumbles this season while Ole Miss has let four get away.

The Rebels offense has created three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have accounted for five such plays.

The Ole Miss defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Missouri has given up two such plays.

The Ole Miss offense has created 20 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Missouri has created seven such runs.

The Rebels defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up three such runs.

The Ole Miss defense has 17 sacks on the year while Missouri has 12.

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