Old Dominion vs. Middle Tennessee College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


Two schools that prefer running the football, Head Coach Bobby Wilder and the Old Dominion Monarchs (+15) are set to pay a visit to their CUSA counterpart Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-15) at Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET and ESPN 3 has the TV rights.

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Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee Betting Odds 11/23/2019

Middle Tennessee is giving up 15 points in this CUSA game. The Monarchs are currently receiving +510 moneyline odds while the Blue Raiders are -750. The over/under is set at 47 points. There should be multiple decent in-game betting possibilities in this matchup.

Square bettors have been hammering the Blue Raiders. The line opened at -13 and the game’s total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 47.

The Monarchs are 1-9 straight up (SU), including 0-6 SU against CUSA opponents. The Blue Raiders are 3-7 SU overall and 2-4 SU in conference play. The Monarchs are down 8.1 units so far in 2019 and 4-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-7.

The Blue Raiders have lost 8.0 units this season. They’re 4-6 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-3.

The Monarchs fell to UTSA 24-23 in a game where Hayden Wolff completed 17-of-29 passes for 247 yards, as well as one TD and an interception. Lala Davis (55 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the running attack in the loss while Aaron Moore (three receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and Strong (three catches, 26 yards) handled the receiving duties.

On November 16, Rice knocked off this Middle Tennessee team by a score of 31-28. The Blue Raiders defense allowed the Owls to run for 155 yards on 41 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Brad Rozner had a productive showing, recording 130 yards and three touchdowns on eight catches for Rice. For Middle Tennessee, Asher O’Hara completed 22-of-31 passes for 338 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. O’Hara (79 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) handled the ground game in the defeat while Ty Lee (seven receptions, 154 yards, one TD) and Jimmy Marshall (seven catches, 112 yards, one TD) led the Middle Tennessee pass-catchers.

Old Dominion has run the ball on 57 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 54.4 percent across possessions in conference play. Middle Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 51.4 percent, and has run the ball 54 percent of the time against CUSA opponents. The Monarchs have produced 88 rush yards/game (including 66 per game versus Conference USA opponents) and have 12 scores via handoffs this year. The Blue Raiders are totaling 177 rushing yards per contest (209 in conference) and have 17 total rush TDs.

The Monarchs have averaged 162 yards through the air overall (156 per game versus conference opposition) and have four passing scores so far. The Blue Raiders have put up 227 pass yards per outing (222.0 against CUSA competition) and have 16 total pass TDs.

Old Dominion appears to have an edge in both defensive phases. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 138 yards and pass for 227 yards per game. Middle Tennessee has allowed 204.6 yards per game on the ground and 256.9 to opponents in the air. The Monarchs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.96 to opposing QBs, while the Blue Raiders have given up a 7.9 ANY/A.

Wolff is up to 247 pass yards this year, and has connected on 17-of-29 attempts with one passing touchdowns and one interception. Wolff’s got a 6.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.53 over the past two games.

Asher O’Hara has put up 1,990 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for Middle Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at 6.84 for the year and 9.06 across his last two games.

These two teams met last year with the final result being a 51-17 victory for Middle Tennessee.

Old Dominion Monarchs at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Pick

SU Winner – Middle Tennessee, ATS Winner – Middle Tennessee, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The Old Dominion D has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this season. Middle Tennessee has produced just nine sacks.

Middle Tennessee has lost four fumbles in 2019 while the Old Dominion offense has lost five.

The Monarchs offense has produced six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Blue Raiders have accounted for five such plays.

The Old Dominion defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Middle Tennessee has given up four such plays.

The Old Dominion offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Middle Tennessee has created 16 such runs.

The Monarchs defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Blue Raiders have given up 15 such runs.

The O/U for Middle Tennessee’s last match was set at 47. The over cashed in that 31-28 loss to Rice.

Over its last three contests, Middle Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three contests, Old Dominion is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Middle Tennessee has dropped five of its last six games SU, with a 33-point victory over FIU on October 26th accounting for its one win over that span.

The Over/Under for Old Dominion’s last game was set at 42.5. The over cashed in the team’s 24-23 loss to UTSA.

Old Dominion has produced 2.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.6 over its last two.

Middle Tennessee has averaged 7.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.6 over its last two.

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