Old Dominion at FIU College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

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Two teams that prefer to mix in a lot of running plays, Panthers (-16) are set to welcome the Old Dominion Monarchs to Riccardo Silva Stadium. ESPN+ will televise the action and this conference matchup is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET.

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Old Dominion vs. FIU Betting Odds 11/2/2019

The spread for this CUSA game is placed at 16 points in favor of FIU. The Monarchs are currently being given +600 moneyline odds while the Panthers are -945. The over/under has been set at 49 points. If one squad can create a bunch of points early on, it will likely result in a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

Square bettors have been hammering the Panthers. The opening line was -15 and the game’s total hasn’t changed after it was initially set at 49.

The Monarchs are 1-7 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against conference opponents. The Panthers are 4-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play. The Monarchs are down 5.5 units so far and 3-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-6.

The Panthers have lost 4.7 units this season. The team is 2-6 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.

These two teams met a year ago with the final result being a 28-20 victory for FIU.

The Monarchs will look to bounce back after a 41-3 loss to Florida Atlantic last week. Messiah deWeaver completed only 15-of-29 passes for 134 yards and one interception. Eric Kumah (10 receptions, 99 yards) and Blake Watson (one catch, zero yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

FIU just fell 50-17 to Middle Tennessee. James Morgan completed 16-of-32 passes for 208 yards and two touchdowns. Anthony Jones (87 rushing yards on 21 attempts) spearheaded the running game while Maurice Alexander (five receptions, 87 yards, one TD) and Shemar Thornton (five catches, 67 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Looking at offensive play selection, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Old Dominion’s run the ball on 59.6 percent of its offensive possessions while FIU has a rush percentage of 60.6. The Monarchs have produced 92 rush yards/game (including 62 per game versus Conference USA opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Panthers are averaging 194 rushing yards per contest (181 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.

The Monarchs have tallied 146 yards per game through the air overall (119 per game against conference opposition) and have two passing scores so far. The Panthers have recorded 203 pass yards per game (200.0 in the CUSA) and have 10 total pass TDs.

Old Dominion has allowed opponents to run for an average of 134 yards and pass for 223 yards per game. FIU has allowed 215.9 yards per game on the ground and 164.5 to opponents in the air. The Panthers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.21 to opposing QBs, while the Monarchs have given up a 6.84 ANY/A.

deWeaver is up to 234 pass yards this year, and has connected on 23-of-43 attempts with one passing touchdowns and one interception. deWeaver’s got a 2.74 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 1.06 over the last two games.

As a group, Eric Kumah, Darrell Brown and Kesean Strong have collectively accounted for 237 yards from scrimmage over the last couple of outings.

In the host locker room, James Morgan has produced 1,283 yards, nine TDs and two INTs. Morgan’s ANY/A stands at 7.73 for the season and 8.53 over his last two games.

As a trio, Anthony Jones, Shemar Thornton and Maurice Alexander have collectively accounted for 484 total yards and three touchdowns over the last two games.

Old Dominion Monarchs at FIU Panthers Betting Prediction

SU Winner – FIU, ATS Winner – FIU, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes

The Old Dominion defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 10 times this year. FIU has produced nine sacks.

The FIU offense has lost seven fumbles in 2019 while Old Dominion has lost three.

The Monarchs have made five pass plays of 30+ yards while the Panthers have produced nine such plays.

The Old Dominion defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while FIU has given up five such plays.

The Old Dominion offense has created six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while FIU has created 11 such runs.

The Monarchs defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Panthers have given up 13 such runs.

The O/U for FIU’s last matchup going into it was 57.5. The over cashed in the 50-17 defeat to Middle Tennessee.

In its last three matchups, FIU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

In its last three contests, Old Dominion is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Old Dominion’s previous game was set at 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 41-3 loss to Florida Atlantic.

As a team, Old Dominion has averaged 1.8 yards per carry across its last three games and 1.5 over its last two.

FIU has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.2 over its past two.

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