The Thunder (-577) are 11 point favorites over the Spurs (+424) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 236.5 points.

This game will be played at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and will tip off at 8:30 ET. You can watch the game on KENS.


The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -11

This game will be played at Frost Bank Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 140-117 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will Oklahoma City Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?

In Thunder games this season, the average combined scoring total is 234.3 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 236.5. The under has hit in their last two games.

Oklahoma City has an O/U record of 32-25-1 for the season. In their most recent game, they defeated the Rockets by a score of 112-95. The O/U line for that game was 234 points.

For the season, the Thunder have gone 38-20 against the spread, including a 17-11 record on the road. They have covered the spread in their last six games and are favored by 11 points today.

Oklahoma City’s straight-up record is 41-17, which is good for 2nd in the Western Conference. In the West, they are 25-13 compared to 16-4 against non-conference opponents.

In their win over the Rockets, the Thunder covered the spread as 10-point favorites. In their other games this season, they have an ATS record of 27-15 as the favorite and 11-5 on the road.

So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the NBA’s most efficient offenses, ranking 3rd in scoring at 121.3 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 123.6 points compared to 118.8 on the road.

When it comes to pace, Oklahoma City is 12th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are shooting 50% overall, which is 2nd in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 9th in made threes at 13.5 per game. They are also the NBA’s most accurate three-point shooting team at 39%. On the season, they have made 56% of their two-point attempts.

Currently, the Thunder’s defense holds the 11th rank in the NBA, allowing 113.0 points per game. Opponents are hitting 51.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Spurs?

This season, the Spurs are 30-28-1 against the O/U, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of 236.5 is higher than 35 of their previous games, and their games have averaged 232.5 points.

San Antonio’s O/U record is 30-28-1 for the season, and their last two games have gone under. The team’s ATS record for the season is 28-31, and they have covered the spread in their last five games.

In their most recent game, the Spurs lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 114-105. The O/U line for that game was 222, and San Antonio covered the spread as 12.5-point underdogs.

The Spurs are currently 15th in the Western Conference with an overall record of 11-48. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place. At home, San Antonio is 12-14 ATS and 5-21 straight-up.

San Antonio has been the underdog in all but five of their games this season. As the underdog, they have a scoring margin of -10.8 points per game. On the road, they are 16-17 ATS compared to 12-14 at home.

At home, the Spurs have been a slightly above-average offensive team, averaging 114.5 points per game (18th). Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 111.9 points per game. In terms of pace, the Spurs are 3rd in the league at 101.4 possessions per game.

San Antonio has been an average team in terms of two-point shooting, hitting 53% of their attempts. However, they are just 30th in the league in three-point shooting at 34%. Overall, the Spurs are 25th in field goal percentage.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Spurs are 29th in attempts at 20 per game. In terms of assists, they are 2nd in the league at 29.6 per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Spurs’ defense is giving up an average of 120.6 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 55.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.7% of their three-point attempts.