Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds Pick 01/25/20

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-30), who are currently on an eight-game skid, will attempt to get back in the win column when they welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (27-19) to Target Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Preview

The last time the Thunder played, they won big over the Atlanta Hawks, 140-111, comfortably covering as 2.5-point favorites. Danilo Gallinari was Oklahoma City’s high scorer with 25 points on 7-for-10 shooting. The Thunder knocked down 26 of their 34 free throws (76.5 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.663 (above their season average of 0.531). The two teams combined to score 251 points, which was well over the O/U total of 210.5.

The Timberwolves failed to cover as 1-point favorites in their 131-124 loss to the Houston Rockets in their last matchup. Karl-Anthony Towns was Minnesota’s high scorer with 30 points on 12-for-23 shooting. Houston did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (26-31; 83.9 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 22.9). Combined, the two clubs scored 255 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 219.

This contest should be a matchup of contrasting paces. Minnesota prefers to play fast (first in possessions per game), while Oklahoma City is slower-paced (23rd in possessions per game). Additionally, the Thunder are among the NBA’s elite at getting to the line, ranking third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.230). The Timberwolves, meanhwile, rank 22nd at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.214.

Of Oklahoma City’s 45 games with betting action, 24 have finished under the projected point total, while 24 of Minnesota’s 44 games have finished over the projected point total. The Thunder come into this game with a significant advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 27-19 SU and 29-15-1 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 15-30 SU and 17-25-2 ATS.

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Thunder winning both. In the most recent game, Gilgeous-Alexander registered a triple-double. He put up 20 points, 20 rebounds and 10 assists and the Thunder defeated the Timberwolves 117-104, covering as 2-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 221 points, which was just 3 points above the projected point total of 218 points. The Thunder played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.280 and a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.573. The Timberwolves put up marks of 0.176 and 0.484, respectively, for those same stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Timberwolves rank fifth in steals per game (8.4) while the Thunder rank 20th (7.4).

Oklahoma City ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.6) while Minnesota ranks 11th (12.5).

Minnesota ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (48.9) while Oklahoma City ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.0).

Minnesota is 5-15-1 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 17-5 ATS on the road.

The Thunder have 13 unders and 9 overs in 22 road games.

In 21 home games, the Timberwolves have 11 unders and 10 overs.

Oklahoma City is 7-3 when they allow below 100 points, while Minnesota is 2-1.

In games where they score over 100 points, the Timberwolves are 14-23 and the Thunder are 26-12.

The Timberwolves rank fourth in blocks per game (6.0) while the Thunder rank 16th (4.9).

Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 28th (30.0).

The Timberwolves rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.1) while the Thunder rank last (10.7).

The Timberwolves rank 20th in assists per game (23.1) while the Thunder rank 26th (21.9).

Oklahoma City ranks 10th in rebounds allowed per game (44.3) while Minnesota ranks 29th (48.0).

Bettings Trends:

Minnesota is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 3.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 119.8 points per game (9.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (2.4 above their season average).

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