The Detroit Pistons (20-42) will be at home in Little Caesars Arena when they take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (37-24). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Detroit Pistons Free Preview
The Thunder lost to the Los Angeles Clippers in their last matchup, 109-94, despite being 10-point favorites. Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander contributed 15 points and six rebounds in the contest. Los Angeles had a turnover percentage of 8.6 (better than their season average of 12.3). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, held the Clippers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 24.1). The two teams combined to put up 203 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 227.
In the Pistons’ last game, they were beaten by the Sacramento Kings, 106-100, but they did cover as 9.5-point underdogs. Christian Wood led Detroit in scoring with 20 points on 7-for-16 shooting. Sacramento had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.7 (above their season average of 21.7). Detroit, meanwhile, made 18 of their 42 three pointers (42.9 percent). The two squads collectively scored 206 points, which finished under the O/U total of 215.
These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 209 points, just under the projected point total of 214. The Thunder won 108-101, but were unable to cover as 13-point favorites. Oklahoma City did a great job of getting and making free throws (25-30; 83.3 percent). Detroit, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (8.5 vs. 11.0). In the loss, Wood had a double-double with 27 points and 12 rebounds.
Of Oklahoma City’s 60 games with betting action, 31 have finished under the O/U total, while 37 of Detroit’s 62 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Thunder have a substantial advantage. They are 37-24 SU and 37-22-1 ATS, while the Pistons are 20-42 SU and 24-36-2 ATS.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Detroit ranks 25th in possessions per game (100.5) and Oklahoma City is 23rd (100.7).
Oklahoma City Thunder at Detroit Pistons Prediction
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
The Thunder rank fifth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Pistons rank 20th (24.8).
Detroit ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (32.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 27th (29.5).
Oklahoma City ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.9) while Detroit ranks 25th (52.0).
Oklahoma City ranks 24th in rebounds per game (43.0) while Detroit ranks 27th (42.1).
Oklahoma City is 21-7 ATS on the road with 16 unders and 12 overs.
At home, Detroit is 11-20 ATS with 21 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 7-3 and Detroit is 4-3.
The Thunder are 36-14 when they score over 100 points, while the Pistons are 19-29.
The Thunder rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while the Pistons rank 11th (12.9).
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Detroit ranks 26th (5.6).
The Thunder rank first in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Pistons rank 22nd (8.1).
The Thunder average 16.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 17th in the league. The Pistons rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
Detroit ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Oklahoma City ranks last (10.5).
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 3.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (6.5 above their season average).