Odds On What The Future Holds For Tom Brady

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Tom Brady Odds

For weeks, the world has speculated on what the future holds for New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. Every move he makes from cleaning out the family suite to selling houses has been overanalyzed and picked apart as people try to find something that will give the world insight into what Brady wants to do.

If there is an actual rift between him and Bill Belichick, maybe he does move on—or Belichick decides for him. In a few weeks, when the new league season officially starts and Brady becomes a free agent, we’ll find out.

Until then, it is something a few sportsbooks are taking bets on. For instance, MyBookie.ag has two Tom Brady-related wagers:

  • Will Tom Brady Be On New England Patriots Roster
    • Week 1 Of 2020 Season – Yes -200
    • Week 1 Of 2020 Season – No +150

Brady has given no indication of which way he is leaning but has made it clear he wants to play. If that means another team, then so be it. During a recent radio interview, he had this to say about his pending free agency, via ESPN:

“I’m open-minded about the process. At the same time, I love playing football, and I want to continue to play and do a great job. I’m looking forward to what’s ahead. Whatever the future may bring, I’ll embrace it with open arms.”

It almost sounds like he as accepted the possibility he may have to go elsewhere if the Patriots decide they are done with him—but where?

Odds On Team Tom Brady Play For In Week 1 Of 2020 Season

    • New England Patriots -200
    • Los Angeles Chargers +200
    • Dallas Cowboys, Las Vegas Raiders +700
    • Indianapolis Colts +800
    • Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +900
    • Denver Broncos +1200
    • Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings +1400
    • Chicago Bears, New Orleans Saints +1600
    • New York Giants +2000
    • Jacksonville Jaguars +2500
    • Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Los Angeles Rams, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Redskins +3300

All of the teams with +3300 odds can effectively be eliminated since they either have established quarterbacks or have recently acquired a potential franchise quarterback. Jacksonville is more likely to go with Gardner Minshew and spend their money elsewhere.

If the Giants were to go with an aging quarterback, they’d just keep Eli Manning. The Bears have said they are sticking with Mitchell Trubisky, and the Saints are not going to pass on Drew Brees for Brady.

Minnesota is already paying Kirk Cousins a fortune, so the Vikings are out. Denver appears to have their QB of the future in Drew Lock and a mentor for him in John Elway.

That leaves the Patriots, Chargers, Cowboys, Raiders, Colts, Panthers, Browns, Buccaneers and Dolphins.

Of those teams, the Cowboys and Browns can be eliminated; they already have their quarterbacks. The Buccaneers need more than Brady to be competitive and still have to figure out what to do with Jameis Winston.

It is probably safe to cross the Raiders off, too.

Carolina is a big maybe, but probably not. Matt Rhule is not going to want to start his NFL tenure off with almost as old as him. A move to Miami would be intriguing in that Brady could be a heck of a mentor for Tua Tagovailoa.

That leaves the Colts, Chargers, and Patriots.

Indianapolis is an exciting option. With the run game, offensive line, and defense they have, Brady could make them a contender (assuming vintage Brady can emerge). It wouldn’t make sense for the Chargers to go from Philip Rivers to Brady—which leaves returning to the Patriots.

So—how should you bet?

The safe bet and most logical would be for him to stay in New England. But the idea of him being in Indianapolis is intriguing.

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