Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers Week 16 Betting Pick

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The Oakland Raiders (+6) aren’t traveling far to face the Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center. Kickoff for this AFC West game is set for 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.

Oakland Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Odds 12/22/2019

Los Angeles is favored by 6 points in this AFC game. The Raiders are currently being given +180 moneyline odds while the Chargers are -220. This AFC matchup should offer multiple in-game betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 47 points.

The sharp action has been siding with the Raiders, as the line opened at -7. The O/U has not moved after it was initially set at 47.

The Raiders are 6-8 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against AFC West opponents. The Chargers are 5-9 SU overall and 0-4 SU against divisional foes. The Raiders are 6-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.7 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 7-7.

The Chargers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 6.9 units. The team is 5-8-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-8.

The Raiders are most-recently on the rebound after a 20-16 defeat to Jacksonville last week. Derek Carr completed 22 passes for 267 yards and one touchdown. Josh Jacobs (89 rushing yards on 24 attempts) led the running attack while Darren Waller (eight receptions, 122 yards) and Alec Ingold (three catches, 22 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Los Angeles just lost a 39-10 game to Minnesota a week ago. The team’s defensive unit let the Vikings eat up the clock by rushing for 137 yards on 37 attempts, including two rush TDs. Stefon Diggs had a productive showing, recording 76 yards on four catches for Minnesota. For Los Angeles, Philip Rivers completed 28-of-39 passes for 307 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Melvin Gordon III (28 rushing yards on seven attempts) mounted the running game as Keenan Allen (nine receptions, 99 yards) and Gordon III (five catches, 36 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Oakland has run the ball on 46.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has a rush percentage of 38.8 percent. The Raiders have produced 121 rush yards/game (including 107 per game versus West opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bolts are totaling 95 rush yards per contest (97 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Raiders could own the advantage when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has allowed only 52 sacks while the D-line logged 13 sacks. The Chargers, on the other hand, have allowed 34 sacks and their defense has created only 38 sacks.

The Raiders have averaged 245 yards in the air overall (224 per game against conference opposition) and have 20 passing scores so far. The Bolts have recorded 292 pass yards per outing (259.0 against AFC competition) and have 22 total pass TDs.

Oakland has allowed opponents to run for an average of 106 yards and throw for 279 yards per game. Los Angeles has allowed 110.3 yards per game on the ground and 209.2 to opposing teams in the air. The Bolts are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.18 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have allowed an 8.01 ANY/A.

Carr has amassed 3,110 passing yards on the year, and has completed 281-of-403 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Carr’s got a 6.93 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.29 over the last two outings.

The Raiders will probably try to control the pace by getting the ball in the hands of their running backs. In addition to tight end Darren Waller (929 receiving yards and three touchdowns), DeAndre Washington (172 rush yards, one rush TD, 173 receiving yards) and Josh Jacobs (1,150 rush yards, seven rush TDs) have really been focal points in the offense for Oakland.

On the other sideline, Philip Rivers has put up 3,741 yards, 18 TDs and 18 INTs. Rivers’ ANY/A sits at 6.07 for the year and 8.18 over his last two games.

The Bolts should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. Along with Keenan Allen (963 receiving yards, five receiving TDs), Austin Ekeler (399 rush yards, three rush TDs, 780 receiving yards, seven receiving TDs) and Melvin Gordon III (496 rush yards, four rush TDs, 159 receiving yards, one TD) have seen plenty of looks recently.

Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers NFL Pick

SU Winner – Chargers, ATS Winner – Raiders, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Oakland defense has 29 sacks on the year while Los Angeles has 27.

The Los Angeles offense has lost 11 fumbles this season while the Oakland offense has let eight get away.

The Raiders offense has created six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Chargers have put up 11 such plays.

The Oakland defense has allowed 16 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Los Angeles has given up three such plays.

The Oakland offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Los Angeles has created six such runs.

Both teams have allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Raiders have given up 42 running plays of 10+ yards while the Chargers have given up 35 such plays.

The O/U for Los Angeles’ last outing was set at 45. The over cashed in the 39-10 defeat to Minnesota.

In its last three games, Los Angeles is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

In its last three games, Oakland is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Oakland’s last game going into it was 46.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-16 defeat to Jacksonville.

As a team, Oakland has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its last two.

Los Angeles has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.2 over its past two.

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