Home College Football College Football Free Picks Northern Illinois vs. Vanderbilt College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19

Northern Illinois vs. Vanderbilt College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19

The Commodores of Vanderbilt (-6) are prepared to welcome the Northern Illinois Huskies to Vanderbilt Stadium. The afternoon game kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET and SEC Network is scheduled to televise the action.

Northern Illinois at Vanderbilt Betting Predictions 9/28/2019

In this Saturday matchup, Vanderbilt is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Huskies are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Commodores are -240. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points, and if one side can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it’ll probably result in a decent betting scenario in-game.

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Odds have shifted a bit from where they originally opened. The opening line was -7 and the game’s total was set initially at 54.

The Huskies are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-2.

The Commodores have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 0-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-1.

The Huskies are 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Commodores are 0-3 SU.

The Huskies hope to get back in stride after a 44-8 loss to Nebraska on September 14. the Huskies completed 28-of-49 passes for 276 yards and one interception. Ross Bowers went 25-for-44 for 248 yards and one interception while Marcus Childers completed three-of-five for 28 yards. Tre Harbison (just 31 yards on 12 rush attempts) led the ground attack while Cole Tucker (five receptions, 50 yards) and Daniel Crawford (five catches, 71 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back on September 21, LSU knocked off this Vanderbilt team by a score of 66-38. The Commodores defensive unit allowed the Tigers to pass for 418 yards and six touchdowns while rushing for 181 yards and two scores. Ja’Marr Chase was a force to be reckoned with, recording 229 yards and four touchdowns on 10 catches for LSU. As a group, the Commodores collectively completed 19-of-39 passes for 229 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Riley Neal went 15-for-31 for 206 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Deuce Wallace was four-of-eight for 23 yards and one interception. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (130 rushing yards on 20 attempts, two TDs) led the running game while Kalija Lipscomb (five receptions, 68 yards, one TD) and Jared Pinkney (four catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

When looking at offensive play-calling, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Northern Illinois has run the ball on 44.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Vanderbilt has an overall rush percentage of 43.3. The Huskies have produced 77 rush yards per game and have one score on the ground this year. The Commodores are averaging 111 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.

The Huskies offense has averaged 270 yards in the air overall and has three passing TD so far. The Commodores have produced 253 pass yards per outing and also have three total pass scores.

Northern Illinois should possess an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 161 yards and pass for 229 yards per game. The Vanderbilt D has given up 361 yards per game to opposing passers and 178.3 yards per game on the ground. The Huskies are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 8.55 to opponents, while the Commodores have allowed an ugly 10.55 ANY/A.

Bowers has put up 547 passing yards this year, and has completed 45-of-77 attempts with two passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Bowers has a 5.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.51 over the last two games.

Riley Neal has managed to complete 29-of-56 passes for 291 yards, one TD and one INT for Vanderbilt. His ANY/A sits at a terrible 3.62 for the season and 7.19 across his past two games.

Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Free Pick

SU Winner – Vanderbilt, ATS Winner – Vanderbilt, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

Each team has lost one fumble this season.

The Vanderbilt D has notched two sacks on the year while Northern Illinois has one.

Northern Illinois has averaged 2.5 yards per carry over its last two games.

Vanderbilt has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last two.

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