Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) College Football Betting Pick 10/19/19


The Northern Illinois Huskies and Miami (OH) RedHawks will collide on the turf at Fred C. Yager Stadium. The afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 2:30 p.m. ET and ESPN+ will broadcast the action.

Northern Illinois at Miami (OH) Betting Odds 10/19/2019

The line for this MAC game is sitting at 1 point in favor of Miami (OH). The Huskies are currently getting -115 moneyline odds while the RedHawks are -105. The over/under has been set at 48 points, and some good live betting opportunities might exist during this game.

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Sharp bettors are siding with the under, as this game’s O/U initially opened at 49.

The Huskies are 2-4 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The RedHawks are 2-4 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play. The Huskies are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.1 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-4.

The RedHawks have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-4 ATS and the over has hit in four of its games.

The Huskies are coming off a 39-36 win over Ohio last week. Ross Bowers completed 23 passes for 338 yards, along with one score and a pick. Tre Harbison (113 rushing yards on 25 attempts, three TDs) spearheaded the ground attack in the win. Cole Tucker (eight receptions, 118 yards) and Mitchell Brinkman (five catches, 100 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Back on October 12, Western Michigan knocked off this Miami (OH) team by a score of 38-16. The RedHawks defense allowed the Broncos to kill the clock by rushing for 173 yards on 40 attempts, including two rush TDs. LeVante Bellamy had a productive outing in the win, recording 135 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 22 attempts for Western Michigan. For Miami (OH), Brett Gabbert completed 26-of-45 passes for 260 yards and three interceptions. Gabbert (15 yards on 14 rush attempts) and Jaylon Bester (45 yards on 11 carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat as James Maye (five receptions, 76 yards) and Bester (five catches, 30 yards) led all Miami (OH) pass-catchers.

Northern Illinois has run the ball on 44.8 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 42.8 percent across possessions in conference play. Miami (OH) has a rush percentage of 61.7 percent, and has carried the ball 58.2 percent of the time against MAC opponents. The Huskies have rushed for 109 yards per game (including 158 per game versus Mid-American opponents) and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The RedHawks are averaging 106 rush yards per contest (125 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

The Huskies have logged 279 yards per game through the air overall (291 per game versus conference opposition) and have five passing scores so far. The RedHawks have produced 155 pass yards per game (190.0 in the MAC) and have three total pass TDs.

Defensively, Northern Illinois has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 180 yards and pass for 195 yards per game. Miami (OH) has allowed 205.0 rushing yards per game and 207.7 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Huskies have given up an ANY/A of 7.26 to opposing QBs, while the RedHawks are allowing an ANY/A of 6.82.

Bowers has amassed 1,394 pass yards this year. He’s completed 105-of-177 attempts with five passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Bowers has a 6.29 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.71 over the last two outings.

We expect the Northern Illinois offense to mix it up in this one. Tre Harbison (337 rushing yards, three rush TDs on the year), Cole Tucker (257 receiving yards) and Mitchell Brinkman (237 receiving yards, one TD) have each played significant roles of late.

For the home team, Brett Gabbert has tallied 789 yards, two TDs and five INTs. Gabbert’s ANY/A stands at a terrible 3.91 for the season and 3.45 over his last two games.

Jaylon Bester (61 rushing yards, one rush TD, 30 receiving yards this season), James Maye (87 receiving yards) and Dominique Robinson (173 receiving yards) have combined to account for 424 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two games.

These two programs met last year with the final outcome being a 13-7 victory for Miami (OH).

Northern Illinois Huskies at Miami (OH) RedHawks Free Prediction

SU Winner – Miami (OH), ATS Winner – Miami (OH), O/U – Over


Betting Trends

The Huskies offense has registered six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the RedHawks have put up four such plays.

The Northern Illinois defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Miami (OH) has given up six such plays.

The Northern Illinois offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami (OH) has created four such runs.

The Huskies defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the RedHawks have given up nine such runs.

The Miami (OH) defense has sacked opposing QBs 12 times this year. Northern Illinois has produced seven sacks.

As a team, Northern Illinois has produced 4.6 yards per carry across its last three contests and 5.1 over its last two.

Miami (OH) has averaged 2.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.8 over its last two.

In its last three matchups, Miami (OH) is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Northern Illinois’ last game was set at 51.5. The over cashed in the team’s 39-36 win over Ohio.

Over its last three matchups, Northern Illinois is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Miami (OH)’s last game going into it was 57.5. The under cashed in the 38-16 defeat to Western Michigan.


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