North Texas at SMU Free Pick 9/7/19


The North Texas Mean Green (+4) aren’t traveling far to take on the SMU Mustangs at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN 3.

North Texas vs. SMU Betting Odds

The line for this game is placed at 4 points in favor of SMU. The Mean Green are currently receiving +165 moneyline odds while the Mustangs are -185. This tilt could have several in-game betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 69.5 points.

The game’s total has moved higher after opening at 68.5. The original spread of -4 hasn’t shifted.

The Mean Green are 1-0 straight up (SU) while the Mustangs are also 1-0 SU. The Mean Green are 0-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-0.

The Mustangs are up 1.0 unit this season. They’re 1-0 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-0.

The Mean Green are looking to stay undefeated after a 51-31 win over Abilene Christian last week where Mason Fine completed 28 passes on 37 attempts for 383 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. DeAndre Torrey (95 yards on 11 rushes) and Loren Easly (51 yards on nine carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Jaelon Darden (10 receptions, 59 yards) and Rico Bussey Jr. (four catches, 156 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

SMU just earned a 37-30 win over Arkansas State. The Mustangs defensive secondary allowed the Red Wolves to air it out for 324 yards and four touchdowns. Omar Bayless was a bright spot in the loss, recording 132 yards and four touchdowns on 10 catches for Arkansas State. For SMU, Shane Buechele completed 30-of-49 passes for 360 yards and one interception. Ke’Mon Freeman (86 rushing yards on 22 attempts) and Xavier Jones (56 yards on 18 carries, three TDs) handled the ground game in the win as Reggie Roberson Jr. (11 receptions, 180 yards) and James Proche (seven catches, 66 yards) led the receiving corps.

It seems like the Mean Green may own the edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield generated 4.3 yards per carry last season while their defense allowed 3.5 yards per rush attempt to the opposition. The Mustangs registered 3.5 yards per carry last year and allowed 4.3 YPC to opponents.

When these two programs faced one another a year ago, North Texas won soundly 46-23.

North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs Betting Pick

SU Winner – SMU, ATS Winner – SMU, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The Mean Green offense yielded 28 sacks last season. Their defense created 34 sacks.

The Mustangs offense gave up 31 sacks last season. Their defense created 25 sacks.

Each team defense has recorded two sacks this year.

The O/U for North Texas’ last game going into it was 59. The over cashed in the team’s 51-31 win over Abilene Christian.

The Over/Under for SMU’s last game was set at 58. The over cashed in the team’s 37-30 victory over Arkansas State.

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