The Wolfpack and Blue Devils are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN. The Blue Devils will host the game at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The over/under for this game is set at 149.5 points, and Duke is favored by -11.5 vs. North Carolina State in a Atlantic Coast conference matchup.

NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK

The Pick: North Carolina State Wolfpack +11.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Blue Devils.
  • Even though we have Duke winning straight-up, we like North Carolina State at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Wolfpack Win on the Road?

North Carolina State is 17-14 overall and 9-11 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Wolfpack have lost four straight games, and they are 5-9 on the road this season.

As the underdog, North Carolina State is 2-11 this season. They have gone 2-3 in their last five road games and 4-6 in their last 10.

As the underdog this season, NC State has gone 5-7-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 5-8-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolfpack have a mark of 4-5-1. On the road, their ATS record for the year is 4-5-1 and over their last 3 games away from home, they are 2-1 vs. the spread. Overall, their ATS record for the year is 13-17-1.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is in line with the average over/under line in North Carolina State’s games this year (147.3). So far, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 160 points.

In their previous game, the Wolfpack’s offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.3 points per contest. Offensively, the Wolfpack have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 211st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 220th in percentage and 212nd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the North Carolina State defense is giving up an average of 72.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.1% this season.

Can Duke Pull Off a Home Win?

At home this season, Duke has gone 16-3 and has an average scoring margin of +16.2 points per game. On the year, they have been favored in 28 of their 31 games and have a record of 23-5 in those matchups. In their last game, the Blue Devils lost to North Carolina by a score of 84-79.

So far this season, Duke has an overall record of 24-7 and a conference record of 14-5. In their last 10 games at home, the Blue Devils have gone 8-2, and in their last five, they have gone 4-1. For the year, their scoring margin at home is +16.2 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Duke has gone 17-11 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils have an impressive ATS mark of 9-1. At home, Duke has an ATS record of 12-7 this season and they are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

On the season, the over/under record for Duke games is 13-16-1 with an average scoring total of 148.1 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 146.7. So far, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 149.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 142 points.

In their previous game, the Blue Devils’ offense finished with 79 points, which is right in line with their current average of 80.2 points per contest. Kyle Filipowski is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jeremy Roach brings a PPG average of 14.3 into the game.

This season, the Duke defense has been impressive, holding the 54th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. The Duke defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 84 points and allowed North Carolina to connect on 9 threes.