No. 6 Oklahoma vs. Kansas College Football Betting Pick 10/5/19

0

Two teams that like to run the football, Head Coach Lincoln Riley and the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (+35.5) are gearing up to take on their Big 12 rival Kansas Jayhawks at Kivisto Field at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ABC.

No. 6 Oklahoma at Kansas Betting Odds 10/5/2019

Oklahoma is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 35.5 points to Kansas. The over/under is set at 67 points. If one program can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it would probably produce a nice in-game betting scenario.

This game’s line opened at 34. The total hasn’t moved after being set initially at 67.

The Sooners are 4-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Jayhawks are 2-3 SU overall and are also 0-2 SU in conference play. The Sooners are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-2.

The Jayhawks have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this year, gaining 4.8 units. They’re 1-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-2.

The Sooners are looking to remain undefeated after a 55-16 win over Texas Tech last week where the Sooners completed 23-of-34 passes for 443 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Jalen Hurts went 17-for-24 for 415 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Tanner Mordecai completed four-of-six for five yards. Hurts (70 yards on nine rush attempts, one TD) also led the running attack in the win. CeeDee Lamb (seven receptions, 185 yards, three TDs) and Jadon Haselwood (six catches, 59 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Back on September 28, TCU knocked off this Kansas crew by a score of 51-14. The Jayhawks defensive unit let the Horned Frogs pass for 306 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 319 yards and four scores. Darius Anderson had a solid outing in the win, recording 115 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts for TCU. For Kansas, Carter Stanley completed 12-of-29 passes for 84 yards and one touchdown. Pooka Williams Jr. (12 rushing yards on eight attempts) mounted the ground attack in the defeat as Andrew Parchment (four receptions, 10 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Oklahoma has run the ball on 57.0 percent of its offensive possessions while Kansas has a rush percentage of 55.8. The Sooners, however, have run for 294 yards/game and have 14 scores via handoffs this year. The Jayhawks haven’t been quite as productive. They’re averaging 164 rush yards per contest (109 in conference) and have five total rushing TDs.

The Sooners have averaged an astonishing 375 yards through the air overall and have 15 passing TDs so far. The Jayhawks have produced 189 pass yards per outing (179.5 against Big 12 foes) and have nine total pass scores.

Oklahoma should have an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156 yards and pass for 190 yards per game. Kansas has allowed 211.4 rushing yards per game and 213 to opposing teams in the air. The Sooners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.76 to opposing QBs, while the Jayhawks have given up a 6.18 ANY/A.

Hurts probably has the edge over Stanley in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 16.78for the year (and 16.63 over the last two outings). Stanley’s ANY/A is 5.61 for the year and 6.53 over his last two games.

When these two teams met last year, Oklahoma emerged victorious by a final score of 55-40.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Pick

SU Winner – Kansas, ATS Winner – Kansas, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Kansas defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. Oklahoma has recorded 10 sacks.

Kansas has lost four fumbles in 2019 while Oklahoma has lost two.

The Sooners offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jayhawks have accounted for one such play.

The Oklahoma defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards, while Kansas has given up four such plays.

The Oklahoma offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Kansas has created nine such runs.

The Sooners defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Jayhawks have given up nine such runs.

The Over/Under for Kansas’ previous outing was 48. The over cashed in the 51-14 loss to TCU.

Over its last three matchups, Kansas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

In its last three matchups, Oklahoma is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Kansas has dropped four of its last five games SU, with a 24-point victory over Boston College on September 13th representing the lone win over that span.

The O/U for Oklahoma’s last game was set at 68. The over cashed in the team’s 55-16 win over Texas Tech.

Oklahoma has rushed for 7.5 yards per attempt over its last three contests and 7.2 over its last two.

Kansas has averaged 5.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.5 over its past two.

Leave a Reply