No. 5 Penn State at No. 13 Minnesota College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


One winning streak is going to stretch to nine games as Head Coach P.J. Fleck and the No. 13 Minnesota Golden Gophers take the field against Coach James Franklin and the No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions. This pivotal conference matchup will get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on ABC.

No. 5 Penn State vs. No. 13 Minnesota Betting Odds 11/9/2019

The line for this Big 10 game is sitting at 6.5 points in favor of Penn State. The Nittany Lions are currently being given -270 moneyline odds while the Golden Gophers are +210. The over/under is set at 48 points. If one team can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it would probably create a reasonable live betting scenario.

This game’s line opened at 6, while the O/U hasn’t moved after it was initially set at 48.

The Nittany Lions are 8-0 straight up (SU), including 5-0 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Gophers are 8-0 SU overall and are also 5-0 SU in conference play. Each team has rewarded gamblers this year as the Golden Gophers are ahead 7.0 units and the Nittany Lions have gained 5.0 units.

These two Big 10 foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.

The Nittany Lions are looking to remain undefeated following a 28-7 victory over Michigan State on October 26 where Sean Clifford completed only 18-of-32 passes for 189 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Journey Brown (45 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the ground attack. KJ Hamler (five receptions, 57 yards, one TD) and Pat Freiermuth (five catches, 60 yards, three TDs) handled the receiving duties in the win.

The Minnesota Gophers just put together a 52-10 win over Maryland. The team’s defense did its duty in the victory, keeping the Terrapins to only 131 passing yards and 79 yards on the ground. Tayon Fleet-Davis was a bright spot in the defeat for Maryland, accounting for 59 yards on one catch. For Minnesota, Tanner Morgan completed 12-of-21 passes for 138 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Rodney Smith (103 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Shannon Brooks (56 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game while Tyler Johnson (four receptions, 37 yards, one TD) and Chris Autman-Bell (four catches, 56 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Penn State’s run the ball on 56.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Minnesota has a rush percentage of 68.4 percent. The Nittany Lions have produced 170 rush yards per game (including 157 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 19 scores on the ground this year. The Gophers are logging 205 rushing yards per contest (253 in conference) and have 21 total rush TDs.

The Nittany Lions have tallied 252 yards/contest through the air overall (235 per game versus conference opposition) and have 21 passing scores so far. The Gophers have recorded 225 pass yards per outing (220.2 against Big 10 foes) and have 18 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Penn State has let opponents run for an average of 68 yards and pass for 212 yards per game. Minnesota has allowed 117.4 yards per game on the ground and 166.4 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Nittany Lions have given up an ANY/A of 3.74 to opposing QBs, while the Gophers are yielding an ANY/A of 3.41.

Clifford has amassed 1,749 pass yards on the year. He’s connected on 120-of-191 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Clifford has a 9.29 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.31 over the past two games.

In the host locker room, Tanner Morgan has produced 1,516 yards, 16 TDs and four INTs. Morgan’s ANY/A stands at 9.56 for the season and 8.53 over his last two outings.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Free Pick

SU Winner – Penn State, ATS Winner – Penn State, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

Each offense has recorded 15 pass plays of 30+ yards.

The Penn State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Minnesota has given up two such plays.

The Penn State offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Minnesota has created 12 such runs.

The Nittany Lions defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Golden Gophers have given up seven such runs.

The Penn State defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 30 times this season. Minnesota has recorded just 19 sacks.

Penn State has averaged 3.3 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 3.2 over its last two.

Minnesota has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.2 over its last two.

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