No. 5 Oklahoma vs. UCLA Free Pick 9/14/19

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The No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners (+23.5) are heading west to battle the UCLA Bruins at Rose Bowl. The game will start at 8:00 p.m. ET and spectators can watch the action on FOX.

No. 5 Oklahoma at UCLA Betting Odds 9/14/2019

Oklahoma is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 23.5 points to UCLA. The over/under is set at 68 points. If one side can create a bunch of points early, it will likely result in a solid in-game betting scenario.

The game’s total was initially set at 66.5, but the over has gotten the bulk of the early sharp action.

The Sooners are 2-0 straight up (SU) while the Bruins are 0-2 SU. The Sooners have gained 0.0 units so far in 2019 and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The hapless Bruins have lost 4.3 units this season. The team is 0-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 0-2.

The Sooners are hoping to remain unbeaten following a 70-14 victory over South Dakota last week. The passing attack was on point as the Sooners completed 24-of-30 passes for 423 yards and six touchdowns. Jalen Hurts went 14-for-18 for 259 yards and three touchdowns while Tanner Mordecai completed six-of-eight for 114 yards and two touchdowns. Trey Sermon (56 yards on nine rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. CeeDee Lamb (six receptions, 144 yards, one TD) and Jadon Haselwood (three catches, 78 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

A week ago, San Diego State knocked off this UCLA team by a score of 23-14. Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 24-of-35 passes for 199 yards and one touchdown. Joshua Kelley (53 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) and Demetric Felton (28 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the running game as Felton (seven receptions, 36 yards) and Devin Asiasi (four catches, 43 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Oklahoma has run the ball on 58.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCLA has a rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The Sooners have run for 332 yards/game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Bruins are logging 62 rush yards per contest and have just one rushing TD.

If 2019 results are any indication, then the Sooners could have an edge in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded just 19 sacks while their D-line registered 28 sacks. The Bruins O-line has given up 32 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 15 occasions.

The Sooners have averaged a superb 378 yards in the air overall and have nine passing scores so far. The Bruins have put up 178 pass yards per game and have three total pass TD.

Defensively, Oklahoma should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 160 rush yards and 218 pass yards per game. UCLA has allowed 127.5 rushing yards per game and 267.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Sooners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.64 to opponents, while the Bruins have given up a staggering 8.77 ANY/A.

Hurts has been more effective than Thompson-Robinson of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 16.26for the year (and 16.69 over the last two outings). Thompson-Robinson’s ANY/A is 5.29 for the season and 4.38 across his last two games.

When these two schools met last year, Oklahoma won by four touchdowns 49-21.

Oklahoma Sooners at UCLA Bruins NCAA Pick

SU Winner – UCLA, ATS Winner – UCLA, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Oklahoma defense has sacked opposing QBs five times this season. UCLA has recorded three sacks.

The UCLA offense has lost four fumbles in 2019 while the Oklahoma offense has lost two.

The Sooners offense has recorded five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bruins have put up one such play.

The Oklahoma defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while UCLA has given up one such play.

The Oklahoma offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while UCLA has created zero such runs.

The Sooners defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Bruins have given up zero such runs.

The Over/Under for UCLA’s previous matchup going into it was 44.5. The under cashed in that 23-14 loss to San Diego State.

The Over/Under for Oklahoma’s last game was 76.5. The over cashed in the team’s 70-14 win over South Dakota.

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