No. 5 Ohio State vs. No. 25 Nebraska College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19

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The No. 25 Cornhuskers of Nebraska (+17) are set to welcome their in-conference rival Ohio State Buckeyes (-17) to Tom Osborne Field at Memorial Stadium. The game gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action live on ABC.

No. 5 Ohio State vs. No. 25 Nebraska Betting Odds 9/28/2019

The line for this Big 10 matchup is placed at 17 points in favor of Ohio State. The Buckeyes are currently receiving -1400 moneyline odds while the Cornhuskers are +780. This Big 10 contest will likely offer some in-game betting scenarios, and the over/under (O/U) has been placed at 67 points.

Sharp bettors are siding with the Buckeyes. The opening line was originally set at 14.5 and the over/under was initially 67.5.

The Buckeyes are 4-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Cornhuskers are 3-1 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play. The Buckeyes have gained 2.0 units so far in 2019 and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-1.

The Cornhuskers have gained 0.1 units this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-2-1.

The Buckeyes are looking to stay unbeaten after a 76-5 win over Miami (OH) last week. the Buckeyes completed 22-of-30 passes for 374 yards and seven touchdowns. Justin Fields went 14-for-21 for 223 yards and four touchdowns while Chris Chugunov completed six-of-seven for 86 yards and two touchdowns. Master Teague III (34 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the running attack. Garrett Wilson (four receptions, 54 yards, one TD) and Binjimen Victor (three catches, 42 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Nebraska takes the field on Saturday following a 42-38 win over Illinois. The team’s defense allowed the Fighting Illini to rush for 221 yards on 38 attempts, including four rush TDs. Reggie Corbin was a bright spot in the loss for Illinois, recording 134 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts. For Nebraska, Adrian Martinez completed 22-of-34 passes for 327 yards and three touchdowns. Wan’Dale Robinson (89 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Martinez (118 yards on 18 carries) led the running game while Robinson (eight receptions, 79 yards, two TDs) and JD Spielman (seven catches, 159 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

In terms of offensive play selection, each of these squads sports a nearly identical (61-39) run-pass ratio on the season. The Buckeyes have produced 260 rush yards per game and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The Cornhuskers are logging 220 rush yards per contest and have 11 total rushing TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then the Buckeyes should have an advantage in terms of RB effectiveness. Their backfield has logged 5.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 1.7 YPC to opponents. The Cornhuskers have rushed for 4.7 yards per carry and given up 3.1 YPC to opponents.

The Buckeyes have averaged 265 yards in the air overall and have 16 passing scores so far. The Cornhuskers have put up 271 pass yards per outing and have seven total pass TDs.

Ohio State appears to hold the upper hand in both areas of the defense. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 60 yards and pass for 162 yards per game. Nebraska has allowed 116.8 rushing yards per game and 240 to opponents in the air. The Buckeyes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.78 to opponents, while the Cornhuskers have allowed a 4.39 ANY/A.

Fields has put up 681 passing yards this year, and has connected on 52-of-71 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Fields has a sparkling 11.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 11.46 over the last two games.

Adrian Martinez has produced 795 yards, five TDs and two INTs for Nebraska. His ANY/A sits at 8.13 for the season and 10.75 over his last two games.

When these two teams faced one another last year, Ohio State got the victory over Nebraska, 36-31.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Pick

SU Winner – Buckeyes, ATS Winner – Buckeyes, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Buckeyes offense has tallied two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cornhuskers have put up five such plays.

Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards and three pass plays of 30+ yards.

The Ohio State offense has created eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Nebraska has created 10 such runs.

Both teams have allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Buckeyes have given up six running plays of 10+ yards while the Cornhuskers have given up 15 such plays.

The Ohio State defense has sacked opposing QBs 19 times this season. Nebraska has produced just 12 sacks.

Ohio State has rushed for 6.2 yards per attempt across its last three games and 6.3 over its last two.

Nebraska has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.2 over its past two.

In its last three matchups, Nebraska is 1-2 ATS.

The Over/Under for Ohio State’s last game going into it was 56.5. The over cashed in the team’s 76-5 win over Miami (OH).

In its last three contests, Ohio State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Nebraska’s previous game was set at 62. The over cashed in the team’s 42-38 win over Illinois.

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