No. 25 TCU vs. Iowa State College Football Betting Pick 10/5/19


The No. 25 TCU Horned Frogs and Iowa State Cyclones are ready to go at it on the grass at Jack Trice Stadium. This important afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN2.

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No. 25 TCU vs. Iowa State Betting Odds 10/5/2019

Iowa State is giving up 4 points in this Big 12 game. The Horned Frogs are currently getting +165 moneyline odds while the Cyclones are -185. The over/under has been set at 45.5 points. There will likely be multiple good live betting opportunities while this showdown is taking place.

The early action has slanted to both the Cyclones and the under. The line initially opened at -3 and the total was originally set at 48.

The Horned Frogs are 3-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Cyclones are 2-2 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play. The Horned Frogs are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.3 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 2-2.

The Cyclones have lost 1.4 units this season. They’re 2-2 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Horned Frogs are coming off a resounding 51-14 victory over Kansas last week. the Horned Frogs completed 19-of-27 passes for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Alex Delton went 10-for-15 for 186 yards while Max Duggan completed eight-of-11 for 100 yards and two touchdowns. Darius Anderson (115 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) and Darwin Barlow (51 yards on 13 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Dylan Thomas (three receptions, 44 yards, one TD) and Blair Conwright (three catches, 25 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Iowa State narrowly lost a 23-21 game to Baylor. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Bears to pass for 307 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 104 yards. Tyquan Thornton had a good outing, posting 141 yards and a score on 11 catches for Baylor. For Iowa State, Brock Purdy completed 27-of-45 passes for 342 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Purdy (3 yards on 13 rush attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat as Deshaunte Jones (seven receptions, 77 yards) and Charlie Kolar (five catches, 72 yards, one TD) led all Iowa State pass-catchers.

TCU has run the ball on 59.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Iowa State has an overall rush percentage of 46.1 percent. The Horned Frogs have produced 275 rush yards per game and have 11 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Cyclones are putting up 152 rush yards per contest and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Horned Frogs could hold an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their backfield has logged 5.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 2.5 to opponents. The Cyclones have rushed for 4.7 yards per carry and given up 3.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Horned Frogs have averaged 213 yards in the air overall and have seven passing TDs so far. The Cyclones have put up a superb 348 pass yards per outing and have 10 total pass scores.

TCU should have an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 79 yards and pass for 167 yards per game. Iowa State has allowed 115.0 rushing yards per game and 237.8 to opponents in the air. The Horned Frogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.77 to opposing QBs, while the Cyclones have given up a 5.29 ANY/A.

Purdy has put up 896 yards, five TDs and one INT. Purdy’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.26 for the season and 10.16 across his past two outings. In the other huddle, Max Duggan has amassed 335 passing yards this year, and has completed 31-of-52 attempts with four passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Duggan has a 7.13 ANY/A, including 7.22 over the last two games.

These two squads met last year with the final result being a 17-14 win for TCU.

TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State Cyclones Free Pick

SU Winner – Iowa State, ATS Winner – Iowa State, O/U – Over


Betting Notes

The Over/Under for TCU’s last game was 48. The over cashed in the team’s 51-14 win over Kansas.

TCU has produced 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its last two.

Iowa State has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.1 over its last two.

Both teams have lost five fumbles this year.

Over its last three games, TCU is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Iowa State’s last game was 55.5. The under cashed in the 23-21 loss to Baylor.

In its last three matchups, Iowa State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Horned Frogs offense has registered two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cyclones have accounted for five such plays.

The TCU defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Iowa State has given up one such play.

The TCU offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Iowa State has created two such runs.

The Horned Frogs defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cyclones have given up four such runs.

The Iowa State defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. TCU has registered eight sacks.

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