The Boilermakers (+2) are set to host the No. 25 Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2) in Purdue. This Big 10 game kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET and you can view the action live on FOX.
No. 25 Nebraska at Purdue Betting Odds 11/2/2019
The line for this Big 10 game is sitting at 2 points in favor of Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are currently being given -130 moneyline odds while the Boilermakers are +110. The over/under has been set at 55 points, and if one school can find paydirt early, it’ll probably create a nice betting scenario in-game.
With the line opening at 3 and the total set originally at 55.5, bookmakers have swayed the odds slightly.
The Cornhuskers are 4-4 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against conference opponents. The Boilermakers are 2-6 SU overall and 1-4 SU in conference play. The Cornhuskers are 1-7 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.3 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 2-5-1.
The Boilermakers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 8.7 units. The team is 4-4 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.
When these two squads faced one another a year ago, Purdue knocked Nebraska off by two touchdowns 42-28.
Both teams enter the matchup on two-game losing skids. The Cornhuskers lost to Indiana 38-31 in a game where their defense allowed the Hoosiers to pass for 351 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 104 yards and three scores. Whop Philyor had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 178 yards on 14 catches. On the offensive side, the Cornhuskers completed 20-of-23 passes for 294 yards and one touchdown. Noah Vedral went 14-for-16 for 201 yards while Luke McCaffrey completed five-of-six for 71 yards and one touchdown. Wan’Dale Robinson (83 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) and Luke McCaffrey (76 yards on 12 carries) propelled the ground attack while Robinson (six receptions, 71 yards) and JD Spielman (five catches, 97 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
On October 26, Illinois got the win against this Purdue team by a score of 24-6. The Boilermakers defensive unit let the Fighting Illini run for 242 yards on 53 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Dre Brown put up a good showing, posting 131 rushing yards on 18 attempts for Illinois. As a group, the Boilermakers collectively completed 15-of-33 passes for 136 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jack Plummer went eight-for-20 for 71 yards and one interception while Aidan O’Connell was seven-of-13 for 65 yards and one touchdown. King Doerue (37 yards on 15 rush attempts) led the running game while David Bell (five receptions, 18 yards) and Brycen Hopkins (five catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Nebraska has run the ball on 63.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Purdue has a rush percentage of 41 percent. The Cornhuskers have produced 194 rush yards per game (including 207 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Boilermakers are logging 69 rush yards per contest (80 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.
The Cornhuskers have averaged 220 yards through the air overall (201 per game against conference opposition) and have eight passing scores so far. The Boilermakers have put up 301 pass yards per outing (259.4 in the Big 10) and have 19 total pass TDs.
Nebraska appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 177 yards and pass for 223 yards per game. Purdue has allowed 167.9 rushing yards per game and 244.3 to opponents in the air. The Cornhuskers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.58 to opposing QBs, while the Boilermakers have allowed a 6.83 ANY/A.
Vedral has amassed 272 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 19-of-26 attempts with zero passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Vedral has a 9.89 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.19 over the last two games.
We expect Vedral to spread the ball around early and often in this one. Wan’Dale Robinson (22 receiving yards and two touchdowns), JD Spielman (507 yards, one TD) and Noah Vedral (22 yards) have all been heavily involved recently.
Jack Plummer has recorded 1,036 yards, seven TDs and five INTs for Purdue. His ANY/A stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.67 for the year and 4.58 across his past two outings.
Look for a balanced approach offensively from Purdue in this one. David Bell, Brycen Hopkins and King Doerue have combined to account for 391 yards from scrimmage as a trio over the last two outings.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Free Pick
SU Winner – Nebraska, ATS Winner – Nebraska, O/U – Over
Team Betting Notes
The Nebraska defense has sacked opposing QBs 18 times this season. Purdue has registered 16 sacks.
Purdue has lost seven fumbles this season while the Nebraska offense has lost 11.
The Cornhuskers have made 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Boilermakers have accounted for 17 such plays.
The Nebraska defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Purdue has given up nine such plays.
The Nebraska offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Purdue has created one such runs.
The Cornhuskers defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Boilermakers have given up 16 such runs.
The Over/Under for Purdue’s last matchup was set at 54.5. The under cashed in the 24-6 defeat to Illinois.
Over its last three matches, Purdue is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matchups, Nebraska is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Nebraska has lost four of its last five games SU, with a three-point victory over Northwestern on October 5th accounting for the only win over that stretch.
Purdue has dropped six of its last seven games SU, with a 26-point win over Maryland on October 12th accounting for the lone victory over that span.
The O/U for Nebraska’s last game going into it was 54.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-31 loss to Indiana.
As a team, Nebraska has produced 3.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
Purdue has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.7 over its last two.