No. 24 Arizona State vs. UCLA College Football Free Pick 10/26/19

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The No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils (-4) are making a trip west to visit their in-conference foe UCLA Bruins at Rose Bowl. The matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and you can watch the action on Pac-12 Networks.

No. 24 Arizona State at UCLA Betting Odds 10/26/2019

Arizona State is favored by 4 points in this Pac-12 game. The Sun Devils are currently being given -185 moneyline odds while the Bruins are +165. The over/under has been set at 55.5 points, and there will likely be multiple decent live betting possibilities in this matchup.

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Square bettors are hammering the Sun Devils. The line opened at 2.5, while the game’s O/U has not changed after it was set initially at 55.5.

The Sun Devils are 5-2 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Bruins are 2-5 SU overall and are also 2-2 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Sun Devils have recorded 4.4 units and the Bruins are up 2.6 units.

The Sun Devils hope to get back in stride after a 21-3 defeat to Utah last week. The passing attack the primary culprit Jayden Daniels completed just four-of-18 passes for 25 yards and one interception. Brandon Aiyuk (one receptions, seven yards) and Frank Darby (one catch, 12 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

UCLA is coming off of a 34-16 win over Stanford. Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 21-of-34 passes for 192 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Joshua Kelley (176 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Thompson-Robinson (66 yards on 13 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running attack while Kyle Philips (10 receptions, 100 yards, two TDs) and Devin Asiasi (four catches, 41 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Arizona State has run the ball on 56.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCLA has a rush percentage of 53.3 percent. The Sun Devils have produced 131 rush yards/game (including 145 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Bruins are averaging 160 rush yards per contest (222 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

The Sun Devils have logged 234 yards/game through the air overall (227 per game versus conference opposition) and have eight passing TDs so far. The Bruins have produced 246 pass yards per outing (290.8 in the Pac-12) and have 14 total pass scores.

Arizona State appears to possess an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents rush for an average of 100 yards and throw for 253 yards per game. UCLA has allowed 147.3 rushing yards per game and 312.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Sun Devils are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.39 to opponents, while the Bruins have given up a staggering 9.2 ANY/A.

Daniels likely has the edge over Burton in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.96for the season and 6.13 over his last two outings. Burton’s ANY/A is 5.47 for the year and 5.50 over his last two outings.

These two teams faced off a year ago with the final result being a 31-28 win for Arizona State.

Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – UCLA, ATS Winner – UCLA, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Over/Under for Arizona State’s last game was set at 47. The under cashed in the team’s 21-3 loss to Utah.

Arizona State has averaged 4.2 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.

UCLA has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.7 over its past two.

Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.

Over its last three matches, Arizona State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for UCLA’s previous outing was 48.5. The over cashed in the 34-16 win over Stanford.

In its last three matches, UCLA is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Sun Devils offense has registered nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bruins have accounted for three such plays.

The Arizona State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while UCLA has given up seven such plays.

The Arizona State offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while UCLA has created eight such runs.

The Sun Devils defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bruins have given up seven such runs.

The UCLA defense has sacked opposing QBs 16 times this year. Arizona State has produced 12 sacks.

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