No. 23 Stanford vs. No. 17 UCF Free Pick 9/14/19


In a game featuring a pair of squads ranked in the Top 23 overall nationally, the No. 17 Knights of UCF (-7) are set to greet the Stanford Cardinal in Spectrum Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN will televise the action.

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No. 23 Stanford at No. 17 UCF Betting Odds 9/14/2019

UCF is favored by 7 points in this game. The Cardinal are currently receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Knights are -300. The over/under has been set at 58 points. It appears that this contest ought to have some in-game betting possibilities.

This game’s opening line was -8. The total hasn’t moved after it was initially set at 58.

The Cardinal are 1-1 straight up (SU) while the Knights are 2-0 SU. The Cardinal have gained 0.0 units so far and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Knights have gained 1.0 unit this season. They’re 2-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 0-2.

The Cardinal are on the rebound after a 45-20 defeat to USC last week. Davis Mills completed 22-of-36 passes for 237 yards, along with one TD and an interception. Cameron Scarlett (82 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Colby Parkinson (seven receptions, 89 yards) and Connor Wedington (five catches, 67 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

UCF takes the field this week having just earned a 48-14 win over Florida Atlantic. Dillon Gabriel completed seven-of-19 passes for 245 yards and two touchdowns. Greg McCrae (93 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Gabriel Davis (three receptions, 98 yards) and Otis Anderson (one catch, three yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Stanford has run the ball on 49.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCF has an overall rush percentage of 64 percent. The Cardinal have rushed for 115 yards per game and have one touchdown on the ground this year. The Knights are logging 325 rush yards per contest and have seven total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Knights should hold an edge when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, as their running backs has logged 6.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Cardinal have ran for 3.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.4 to opponents.

The Cardinal have averaged 235 yards in the air overall and have two passing TD so far. The Knights have produced 309 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, Stanford has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 104 yards and throw for 247 yards per game. UCF has been a bit better than that, giving up 70.5 yards per game on the ground and 134.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Knights are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.13 to opponents, while the Cardinal have given up a 6.77 ANY/A.

Gabriel probably has the edge over Mills in this matchup. The Knights man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 14.15 for the year and 14.24 over his past two outings while Mills’ ANY/A is 5.05 (and 5.25 over the last two games).

Stanford Cardinal at UCF Knights Free Prediction

SU Winner – Stanford, ATS Winner – Stanford, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The UCF defense has recorded seven sacks on the year while Stanford has four.

The UCF offense has lost zero fumbles in 2019 while Stanford has lost two.

The Cardinal offense has tallied zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Knights have accounted for four such plays.

The Stanford defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while UCF has given up zero such plays.

The Stanford offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while UCF has created nine such runs.

The Cardinal defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Knights have given up four such runs.

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