No. 2 Ohio State vs. Rutgers College Football Betting Pick 11/16/19

0

The No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (+51.5) are flying east to take on their Big 10 rival Rutgers Scarlet Knights at SHI Stadium. This afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to BTN.

No. 2 Ohio State at Rutgers Betting Odds 11/16/2019

Ohio State is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 51.5 points to Rutgers. If the Buckeyes stumble in the early stages it’ll result in a worthwhile in-game betting opportunity. The over/under has been set at 60.5 points.

The game’s opening line was 50.5. The O/U hasn’t changed after being initially set at 60.5.

The Buckeyes are 9-0 straight up (SU), including 6-0 SU against conference opponents. The Scarlet Knights are 2-7 SU overall and 0-6 SU in conference play. The surprising Buckeyes are 8-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.0 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 5-4.

The Scarlet Knights are down 0.5 units this season. They’re 2-7 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4-1.

The Buckeyes are looking to remain undefeated following a 73-14 win over Maryland last week. The defensive unit did its part in the win, limiting the Terrapins to just 77 passing yards and 62 yards on the ground. Javon Leake had a good day for the Terrapins in that one with 55 rushing yards on nine attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, the Buckeyes completed 26-of-38 passes for 322 yards and four touchdowns. Justin Fields went 16-for-25 for 200 yards and three touchdowns while Chris Chugunov completed eight-of-11 for 103 yards and one touchdown. Master Teague III (111 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and J.K. Dobbins (90 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) led the ground attack in the win while Chris Olave (five receptions, 43 yards, one TD) and Garrett Wilson (four catches, 82 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Rutgers could be showing signs of mailing it in after a 28-point loss to Illinois two weeks ago. The team’s defense let the Fighting Illini eat up the clock by rushing for 204 yards on 44 attempts, including two rush TDs. Donny Navarro put up a productive outing for Illinois, recording 57 yards on two catches. For Rutgers, Johnny Langan completed five-of-10 passes for 86 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Langan (41 yards on 23 rush attempts) and Aaron Young (67 yards on 13 carries) handled the ground game in the defeat while Mohamed Jabbie (three receptions, 64 yards, one TD) and Elijah Barnwell (one catch, eight yards) led all Rutgers pass-catchers.

Looking at offensive play selection, each team sports a nearly identical (63-37) run-pass ratio on the season. The Buckeyes, however, have produced 295 rush yards per game (including 321 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 29 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Scarlet Knights haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re logging 136 rush yards per contest (113 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

Based on the numbers so far, the Buckeyes might hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has logged 6.3 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 2.5 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Scarlet Knights have rushed for 3.5 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.

The Buckeyes have averaged 241 yards in the air overall (220 per game versus conference opposition) and have 32 passing TDs so far. The Scarlet Knights have put up 144 pass yards per game (75.2 in the Big 10) and have six total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Ohio State should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 88 rush yards and 127 pass yards per game. Rutgers has allowed 199.0 yards per game on the ground and 232.6 to opponents in the air. The Buckeyes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 1.79 to opposing QBs, while the Scarlet Knights have given up a 7.81 ANY/A.

Langan has recorded 306 yards, one TD and six INTs. Langan’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at a horrendous -0.28 for the season and 8.00 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Fields is up to 1,692 passing yards this season, and has completed 132-of-189 attempts with 25 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Fields has a pristine 10.28 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 8.29 over the past two outings.

When these two squads faced each other last year, Ohio State knocked off Rutgers by a landslide 52-3.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – Rutgers, ATS Winner – Rutgers, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

The Ohio State defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 41 times this season. Rutgers has produced just 11 sacks.

Both offenses have lost six fumbles this season.

The Buckeyes offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have put up four such plays.

The Ohio State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Rutgers has given up 10 such plays.

The Ohio State offense has created 29 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Rutgers has created eight such runs.

The Buckeyes defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Scarlet Knights have given up 15 such runs.

The Over/Under for Rutgers’ previous matchup was 48.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-10 defeat to Illinois.

Over its last three games, Rutgers is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, Ohio State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Ohio State’s previous game was 66. The over cashed in the team’s 73-14 victory over Maryland.

Ohio State has averaged 6.5 yards per carry across its last three games and 6.1 over its last two.

Rutgers has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.

Leave a Reply