In a matchup featuring a couple of programs that are nationally ranked in the Top 10, the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-8.5) are paying a visit to their conference foe No. 10 Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET.
No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 10 Michigan Betting Odds 11/30/2019
This Big 10 game’s line is sitting at 8.5 points in favor of Ohio State. The Buckeyes are currently receiving -350 moneyline odds while the Wolverines are +270. The over/under is set at 52 points. If one side can create a bunch of points early on, it would likely produce a reasonable in-game betting scenario.
The line opened at 8. The game’s total has not moved since it was initially set at 52.
The Buckeyes are 11-0 straight up (SU), including 8-0 SU against conference opponents. The Wolverines are 9-2 SU overall and 6-2 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Wolverines are ahead 2.0 units and the Buckeyes have gained 5.0 units.
The Buckeyes are hoping to remain undefeated after a 28-17 victory over Penn State last week. Justin Fields completed 16 passes on 22 attempts for only 188 yards and two touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins (157 yards on 36 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Fields (68 yards on 21 carries) spearheaded the ground attack in the win. K.J. Hill (four receptions, 46 yards, one TD) and Garrett Wilson (two catches, 21 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Michigan enters this Saturday’s matchup having just earned a 39-14 win over Indiana. The allowed the Hoosiers to put up 224 passing yards and 97 rushing yards. Peyton Hendershot was a bright spot in the loss, posting 62 yards and a score on six catches for Indiana. For Michigan, Shea Patterson completed 20-of-32 passes for 366 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Hassan Haskins (44 yards on 13 rush attempts) handled the ground game in the win as Nico Collins (six receptions, 165 yards, three TDs) and Donovan Peoples-Jones (five catches, 73 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps.
Ohio State has run the ball on 63.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan has an overall rush percentage of 56.3 percent. The Buckeyes have produced 282 rush yards/game (including 296 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 33 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Wolverines are averaging 155 rush yards per contest (133 in conference) and have 24 total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Buckeyes may own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 5.9 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 2.5 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Wolverines have registered 4.0 yards per carry and allowed 2.8 YPC to opponents.
The Buckeyes have tallied 248 yards/contest in the air overall (236 per game versus conference opposition) and have 40 passing scores so far. The Wolverines have produced 248 pass yards per game (267.1 in the Big 10) and have 23 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Ohio State appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 91 yards and pass for 126 yards per game. Michigan has allowed 105.9 yards per game on the ground and 161.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Buckeyes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 1.75 to opponents, while the Wolverines have given up a 4 ANY/A.
Fields has amassed 2,047 passing yards this season. He’s completed 160-of-233 attempts with 29 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Fields has a sparkling 9.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 13.30 over the past two outings.
J.K. Dobbins (1,357 rushing yards, 13 rush TDs, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Chris Olave (498 receiving yards, 10 receiving TDs) and K.J. Hill (407 receiving yards, six TDs) have all played big roles lately.
In the other locker room, Shea Patterson has recorded 2,139 yards, 17 TDs and five INTs. Patterson’s ANY/A stands at 7.49 for the season and 11.62 over his past two games.
Look for Patterson to distribute the football early and often in this one. Nico Collins (604 receiving yards and six receiving TDs this season), Ronnie Bell (477 receiving yards, one receiving TD), and Donovan Peoples-Jones (287 receiving yards, four TDs) have collectively notched 487 receiving yards and seven scores over the last couple of games.
When these two teams faced each other last year, Ohio State won handily 62-39.
Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines NCAA Tip
SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Michigan, O/U – Over
Team Betting Notes
The Buckeyes offense has created five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wolverines have put up nine such plays.
The Ohio State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Michigan has given up two such plays.
The Ohio State offense has created 31 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Michigan has created 13 such runs.
The Buckeyes defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wolverines have given up six such runs.
The Ohio State defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 47 times this season. Michigan has recorded just 34 sacks.
As a team, Ohio State has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.2 over its last two.
Michigan has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.7 over its last two.
In its last three matches, Michigan is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Ohio State’s previous game was set at 58. The under cashed in the team’s 28-17 victory over Penn State.
Over its last three matchups, Ohio State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Michigan’s last match going into it was 53.5. The under cashed in the 39-14 win over Indiana.
Michigan has won eight of its last nine games SU, with a -7-point defeat to Penn State on October 19th representing the one loss over that span.