No. 2 Alabama vs. South Carolina Free Pick 9/14/19

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The No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (+25) will meet the South Carolina Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium. CBS is scheduled to have the TV rights and the opening kickoff for this conference showdown is set for 3:30 p.m. ET.

No. 2 Alabama at South Carolina Betting Odds 9/14/2019

Alabama is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 25 points to South Carolina. If the Gamecocks seize control early it’ll create a decent betting opportunity in-game. The over/under is set at 60 points.

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Odds have shifted a bit from where they originally opened. The opening line was 25.5 and the game’s over/under was initially set at 59.5.

The Crimson Tide are 2-0 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet. The Gamecocks are 1-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play. The Crimson Tide are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-1.

The hapless Gamecocks have lost 4.7 units this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-1.

These two SEC foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.

The Tide are hoping to remain unbeaten following a 62-10 win over New Mexico State last week. the Crimson Tide completed 21-of-33 passes for 285 yards and four touchdowns. Tua Tagovailoa went 16-for-24 for 227 yards and three touchdowns while Mac Jones completed five-of-nine for 58 yards and one touchdown. Najee Harris (68 yards on 12 rushes, one TD) and Brian Robinson Jr. (57 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack while Jerry Jeudy (eight receptions, 103 yards, three TDs) and Devonta Smith (five catches, 47 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

South Carolina is coming off of a 72-10 win over Charleston Southern. The team’s defensive unit did its job in the victory, holding the Buccaneers to only 195 passing yards and 72 yards on the ground. Ronnie Harris had a good outing in the loss, posting 53 rushing yards on eight attempts for Charleston Southern. For South Carolina, Ryan Hilinski completed 24-of-30 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Rico Dowdle (87 yards on 10 rush attempts, two TDs) and Mon Denson (118 yards on nine carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Bryan Edwards (five receptions, 112 yards, two TDs) and Kyle Markway (four catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

When glancing at offensive play selection, each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Alabama has run the ball on 51.7 percent of its offensive possessions while South Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 53.1. The Crimson Tide have rushed for 232 yards/game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Gamecocks are averaging 311 rushing yards per contest and have nine total rush TDs.

The Tide have averaged 326 yards through the air overall and have eight passing scores so far. The Gamecocks have produced 212 pass yards per game and have three total pass TDs.

Defensively, Alabama appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents run for an average of 104 yards and pass for 129 yards per game. South Carolina has allowed 155.0 yards per game on the ground and 220 to opposing teams in the air. The Tide are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.81 to opponents, while the Gamecocks have allowed a 4.53 ANY/A.

Tagovailoa has been more effective than Hilinski lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 11.96for the year and 12.45 over the last two outings. Hilinski’s ANY/A is 9.23 for the season.

Alabama Crimson Tide at South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Pick

SU Winner – South Carolina, ATS Winner – South Carolina, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Each team has lost one fumble this year.

The Crimson Tide offense has produced zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Gamecocks have accounted for one such play.

The Alabama defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while South Carolina has given up zero such plays.

The Alabama offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while South Carolina has created nine such runs.

The Crimson Tide defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Gamecocks have given up six such runs.

Each team defense has created four sacks this season.

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